Lab
Ligue 1Vesta · published Wed 7 Oct
LensLens
WLLDL10th · 7 pts
2–1
Full time
LyonLyon
4th · 11 ptsWDWDW
  • Sotoca36'
  • Gradit50'
  • Udol76'
  • Udol84'
  • Abner23'
  • Merah85'
45%Lens win · happened
27%Draw
28%Lyon win

Match events

3 goals · 3 cards · 10 changes, the latest first
LensLyon
85'Khalis Merah
Matthieu Udol84'
Andrija BulatovicMichaël Cuisance83'
78'Khalis MerahPavel Sulc
77'Tanner TessmannTyler Morton
Matthieu Udol · Florian Thauvin76'
71'Kail BoudacheErnest Nuamah
Junior KadileFlorian Sotoca69'
Franjo IvanovicOdsonne Édouard69'
60'Noah NarteyMads Bidstrup
60'Keito NakamuraLoïs Openda
Amadou HaidaraYassine Titraoui54'
Samson BaidooJonathan Gradit53'
Jonathan Gradit50'
Half time
Florian Sotoca · Florian Thauvin36'
23'Abner

Line-ups

from the official team sheets
Lens 3-4-2-1line-ups4-3-3 Lyon
Lyon 4-3-3line-up
Lens 3-4-2-1line-up
goal own goal assist yellow card red cardNamecame on in his place (the minute on hover)

Who played

goals: M. Udol, F. Sotoca, K. Merah

Lens

Lyon

PlayerMinGAShxG
Dominik Greif9000.00
Zachary Athekame9000.00
Felix Bacher9020.31
Ruben Kluivert9010.08
Abner9000.00
Corentin Tolisso9000.00
Tyler Morton7920.05
Pavel Sulc7910.12
Ernest Nuamah7200.00
Mads Bidstrup6110.04
Loïs Openda6110.01
Noah Nartey sub2900.00
Keito Nakamura sub2920.12
Kail Boudache sub1810.04
Tanner Tessmann sub1100.00
Khalis Merah sub11120.74

Stats

Match stats

48%Possession52%
85%Passes completed85%
15Shots13
7Shots on target5
7Corners4
13Fouls12
1Offsides1
1Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
4Saves5

Every shot

Lens shoot to the right · filled: a goal · bigger: a better chance
Every shot of Lens 2-1 Lyon12' Florian Sotoca, expected goals 0.3913' Pierre Ganiou, expected goals 0.0324' Mads Bidstrup, expected goals 0.0426' Florian Sotoca, expected goals 0.0430' Jonathan Gradit, expected goals 0.1532' Odsonne Edouard, expected goals 0.0338' Ruben Aguilar, expected goals 0.0240' Loïs Openda, expected goals 0.0144' Florian Thauvin, expected goals 0.0546' Odsonne Edouard, expected goals 0.0246' Florian Sotoca, expected goals 0.0948' Pavel Sulc, expected goals 0.1249' Matthieu Udol, expected goals 0.0753' Ruben Aguilar, expected goals 0.0266' Florian Thauvin, expected goals 0.1267' Keito Nakamura, expected goals 0.0873' Tyler Morton, expected goals 0.0073' Tyler Morton, expected goals 0.0574' Kail Boudache, expected goals 0.0476' Junior Kadile, expected goals 0.0079' Khalis Merah, expected goals 0.3481' Keito Nakamura, expected goals 0.0487' Ruben Kluivert, expected goals 0.0892' Felix Bacher, expected goals 0.1895' Felix Bacher, expected goals 0.1436' Florian Sotoca, expected goals 0.2776' Matthieu Udol, expected goals 0.0885' Khalis Merah, expected goals 0.41

The match in expected goals

chance quality added up minute by minute
Expected goals minute by minute, Lens 2-1 Lyon00.511.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'1.381.5236' goal Florian Sotoca76' goal Matthieu Udol85' goal Khalis Merah

The best chances

PlayerTeamMinuteWhatxG
Khalis MerahLyon85'Goal0.41
Florian SotocaLens12'Saved0.39
Khalis MerahLyon79'Off target0.34
Florian SotocaLens36'Goal0.27
Felix BacherLyon92'Saved0.18
Jonathan GraditLens30'Off target from a corner0.15

Vesta's forecast, how it went

published before kick-offWhat came true ›

Lens win: the likeliest of the three outcomes for Vesta, at 45%.

1.7–1.3goals expected; the chances made were worth 1.4–1.5
10%for 2–1, 2nd likeliest of 36 scores
60%three goals or more · happened
54%Lens to score first · happened

Players to watch, how it went

chance to score before kick-offEvery player ›
Every chance was published before kick-off and is never changed afterwards. The full track record ›

What came true

13 of Vesta's forecasts, with the chance each had before kick-off
Result Lens win 45%the likeliest
Exact score 2–1 10%2nd of 36
Goals in the match 3 goals 23%2nd of 7
Both teams score Both teams score 64%the likeliest
Goals of Lens 2 or more 52%
Goals of Lyon 1 or more 76%
Winning margin Lens by 1 22%2nd of 7
Half-time Lens ahead at half-time 36%2nd of 3
Second half Second half level 34%2nd of 3
Halves More goals in the second half 45%the likeliest
Half-time and full-time Lens ahead at half-time, Lens win 28%the likeliest
First goal Lens score first 54%the likeliest
When the first goal came Minutes 31-45+ 16%3rd of 6

Each of these happened. The bar is the chance Vesta gave it before kick-off; the likeliest when no other outcome of the same kind had more. A forecast does well when things like these happen about as often as their chances say, over many matches. The track record ›

Players

Every player, how it went

4 scored or set up a goal

Lens

PlayerPlayedGoalsTo scoreAssistsTo assist
Florian Sotoca70′122%–10%
Matthieu Udol85′110%–19%
Florian Thauvin90′–30%221%
Odsonne Edouard70′–32%–9%
Michaël Cuisance84′–11%–7%
Pierre Ganiou90′–10%–4%
Yacine Titraoui55′–9%–7%
Franjo Ivanovic20′–5%–2%
Ruben Aguilar90′–4%–11%
Kyllian Antonio90′–3%–6%
Jonathan Gradit54′–3%–3%
Amadou Haidara35′–2%–2%
Samson Baidoo36′–1%–1%
Andrija Bulatovic6′–1%–2%
Junior Kadile20′–1%–1%
Robin Risser90′–<1%–1%

Lyon

PlayerPlayedGoalsTo scoreAssistsTo assist
Khalis Merah11′1<1%–1%
Corentin Tolisso90′–20%–12%
Loïs Openda61′–20%–7%
Ernest Nuamah72′–19%–10%
Pavel Sulc79′–18%–13%
Zachary Athekame90′–7%–11%
Mads Bidstrup61′–6%–6%
Felix Bacher90′–6%–3%
Abner90′–5%–6%
Tyler Morton79′–4%–7%
Ruben Kluivert90′–4%–7%
Kail Boudache18′–4%–1%
Noah Nartey29′–2%–1%
Keito Nakamura29′–1%–1%
Tanner Tessmann11′–1%–<1%
Dominik Greif90′–<1%–1%
No set of chances was logged before kick-off: these are worked out again here from the squads known that day. See the check