Lille v Le Havre

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Lille

• Olivier GiroudForward, started 3 of the last 524%to score
• Ayase UedaForward, started 2 of the last 524%to score
• Hákon HaraldssonAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 522%to score
• Ethan MbappéRight winger, started 4 of the last 518%to score

Most likely to assist: Nabil Bentaleb 14%, Hákon Haraldsson 12%

Le Havre

• Mbwana SamattaForward, started 5 of the last 516%to score
• Josh MajaForward, started 3 of the last 512%to score
• Rayan FofanaAttacking midfielder, started 1 of the last 57%to score
• Sota NakamuraForward, started 1 of the last 56%to score

Most likely to assist: Amir Richardson 7%, Mbwana Samatta 6%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Lille

Lille: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Olivier Giroud	51	24%	3%	7%	30%	1.5
Ayase Ueda bench	39	24%	3%	5%	28%	1.5
Hákon Haraldsson	76	22%	3%	12%	32%	1.7
Ethan Mbappé	54	18%	2%	12%	28%	1.4
Tiago Santos	90	10%	<1%	9%	18%	1.3
Nabil Bentaleb	85	10%	<1%	14%	23%	1.3
Ngal&#039;ayel Mukau	49	7%	<1%	3%	10%	0.7
Romain Perraud	78	7%	<1%	11%	17%	1.1
Dilane Bakwa bench	34	6%	<1%	10%	16%	0.7
Basar Önal bench	43	6%	<1%	8%	14%	0.6
Benjamin André	44	5%	<1%	4%	9%	0.6
Nathan Ngoy	90	5%	<1%	5%	10%	0.8
Felix Correia bench	19	4%	<1%	5%	9%	0.3
Osame Sahraoui bench	19	4%	<1%	4%	8%	0.5
Alexsandro Ribeiro	90	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.9
Gaetan Perrin bench	13	3%	<1%	3%	5%	0.3
Maurits Kjærgaard bench	10	2%	<1%	4%	6%	0.2
Calvin Verdonk bench	14	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Berke Özer	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Le Havre

Le Havre: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Mbwana Samatta	87	16%	1%	6%	21%	1.5
Josh Maja	53	12%	<1%	5%	17%	0.8
Rayan Fofana bench	24	7%	<1%	1%	9%	0.5
Sota Nakamura bench	31	6%	<1%	5%	10%	0.5
Amir Richardson	88	6%	<1%	7%	12%	0.9
Simon Ebonog	87	5%	<1%	3%	7%	0.6
Rassoul Ndiaye	47	4%	<1%	4%	7%	0.4
Kaito Mizuta bench	31	2%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Junior Mwanga	49	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Djibril Ouziad	45	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.3
Fodé Doucouré bench	20	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.1
Ahmed Touba	72	2%	<1%	3%	4%	0.2
Ayumu Seko	90	2%	<1%	2%	3%	0.4
Elias Jelert	56	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.1
Timothee Pembele bench	43	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.2
Enzo Koffi bench	24	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Vincent Sasso bench	32	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Yanis Zouaoui bench	8	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Gauthier Gallon bench	36	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Lionel Mpasi	54	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0