Lab

Match of the day by Vesta  ·  Saturday 17 October 2026, 18:00 CEST

Barcelona ahead.

Barcelona win about 60 times in 100. The other 40: a draw (22) or a Real Betis win (18). Published before kick-off, checked after the final whistle.

See the full forecastAll matches

La LigaLa Liga  ·  Matchday 9

Real Betis3rd, 19 points
18:00
Sat 17 Oct · CEST
Barcelona1st, 24 points
Goals expected 1.3–2.3Likeliest score 1–2, 10%
Powered by Vesta · published Sat 17 Oct

Saturday 17 OctoberToday's matches

21 matches · each chip is Vesta's likeliest result, published before kick-off. Times are Zurich time.All matches ›
Premier League5 matches
13:30 Everton Chelsea
16:00 Brentford Liverpool
16:00 Fulham Hull
16:00 Manchester City Ipswich
18:30 Newcastle United Aston Villa
La Liga4 matches
14:00 Espanyol Atletico Madrid
16:15 Villarreal Elche
18:00 Real Betis Barcelona
21:00 Valencia Athletic Club
Serie A3 matches
15:00 Venezia Napoli
18:00 Bologna Inter
20:45 Roma Genoa
Bundesliga6 matches
15:30 Elversberg Augsburg
15:30 Hamburger SV VfB Stuttgart
15:30 Schalke 04 Mainz 05
15:30 Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund
15:30 Werder Bremen Paderborn
18:30 Bayern Munich RasenBallsport Leipzig
Ligue 13 matches
17:15 Strasbourg Paris Saint Germain
20:45 Lille Brest
20:45 Troyes Lens
Premier League5
EVEEverton 13:30 CHEChelsea BREBrentford 16:00 LIVLiverpool FULFulham 16:00 HULHull MCIMan City 16:00 IPSIpswich NEWNewcastle 18:30 AVLAston Villa
La Liga4
ESPEspanyol 14:00 ATMAtlético VILVillarreal 16:15 ELCElche RBBReal Betis 18:00 BARBarcelona VALValencia 21:00 ATHAthletic
Serie A3
VENVenezia 15:00 NAPNapoli BOLBologna 18:00 INTInter ROMRoma 20:45 GENGenoa
Bundesliga6
ELVElversberg 15:30 AUGAugsburg HSVHamburg 15:30 VFBVfB Stuttgart S04Schalke 04 15:30 M05Mainz 05 FCUUnion Berlin 15:30 BVBDortmund SVWWerder Bremen 15:30 PADPaderborn FCBBayern 18:30 RBLRB Leipzig
Ligue 13
STRStrasbourg 17:15 PSGPSG LILLille 20:45 SBRBrest TROTroyes 20:45 LENLens

Today's players to watch

Saturday 17 October · the likeliest to score or assist, from the minutes Vesta expects and each one's share of his side's goals and assists
61%GoalAssist17% Harry Kane v RasenBallsport Leipzig 34%GoalAssist35% Michael Olise v RasenBallsport Leipzig 51%GoalAssist13% Erling Haaland v Ipswich 37%GoalAssist27% Lamine Yamal at Real Betis 34%GoalAssist23% Luis Díaz v RasenBallsport Leipzig 42%GoalAssist10% Serhou Guirassy at Union Berlin 38%GoalAssist13% Deniz Undav at Hamburger SV 33%GoalAssist5% Thiago v Liverpool

Surprises & calls

The last 72 hours: the results Vesta gave the least chance, and its clearest calls that came trueTrack record ›

Surprises the least expected results

SPRSparta Prague 1–1FT LISLillestromVesta 19% EGNEgnatia 1–1FT FCMFC MidtjyllandVesta 20% HEAHearts 1–1FT FCNFC NordsjællandVesta 22% RIGRiga FC 1–1FT KAIKairat AlmatyVesta 22% USGUnion SG 1–1FT RSOR. SociedadVesta 23% MCIMan City 2–4FT PSGPSGVesta 23%

Best calls Vesta's clearest, right

BHABrighton 4–0FT KAUKauno ZalgirisVesta 91% BRNSK Brann 2–1FT LRILincoln Red ImpsVesta 77% STVSint-Truidense 2–0FT IBEIberia 1999Vesta 76% SCFFreiburg 3–2FT JABJablonecVesta 76% BOUBournemouth 3–0FT STUSK Sturm GrazVesta 75% BENBenfica 4–1FT CLTCelticVesta 73%

The week in numbers

leagues and cups, Sat 10 Oct to Fri 16 Oct
102matches · 57 home wins, 20 draws, 25 away wins
348goals, 3.41 a match (2.53 the week before)
6–0the widest win: RasenBallsport Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt
9goals in one match: LASK Linz 3–6 Liverpool
4–1the upset: Coventry beat Newcastle United, rated far stronger
5hat-tricks
Last 7 days
102matches
348goals
3.41a match ▲ from 2.53
Widest win6–0 Most goals3–6 Upset4–1
Hat-tricksAlphadjo Cissè, Antonio Raimondo +3

What moved, who leadsTitle races

Vesta's season projections since Fri 16 Oct, the top of each league today and who Vesta sees winning it
Man City leads on 18 pts+3 on Arsenal

Title chance by Vesta

Man City57%Arsenal40%Brighton3%

Since the last round

LiverpoolTop 457% → 37%−20ChelseaTop 419% → 37%+18BrightonTop 451% → 68%+16
Full projection ›

What moved

in percentage points, 10,000 simulated seasons
Liverpool−20top 4: 57% → 37% · Premier League Chelsea+18top 4: 19% → 37% · Premier League Brighton+16top 4: 51% → 68% · Premier League Le Mans+15bottom 3: 27% → 41% · Ligue 1 Tottenham−13bottom 3: 61% → 48% · Premier League Manchester United−12top 4: 28% → 16% · Premier League

On top, and who wins it

the leader of each league today; in cobalt, Vesta's chance to finish first
Manchester CityPremier League · +3 on Arsenal · WWWWWTitle: Manchester City 57% · Arsenal 40% · Brighton 3%18 pts BarcelonaLa Liga · +5 on Atletico Madrid · WWWWWTitle: Barcelona 93% · Real Madrid 6% · Atletico Madrid 2%24 pts InterSerie A · level with Lazio · WWWDWTitle: Inter 72% · Roma 21% · Como 3%16 pts FreiburgBundesliga · level with Borussia Dortmund · WWWDWTitle: Bayern Munich 95% · Borussia Dortmund 3% · Bayer Leverkusen 2%13 pts MonacoLigue 1 · +1 on Lille · WWDWDTitle: Paris Saint Germain 67% · Monaco 10% · Lyon 8%14 pts

Top scorers & assists

Goals

1Haaland62João Pedro53Mathis Cherki44Isak45Morgan Rogers4

Assists

1Pascal Groß42Cody Gakpo33João Pedro34Gvardiol35Declan Rice3
All players ›

Every match, every shot, every number.11footy Lab

16 questions answered from every match, every shot and Vesta's forecasts.

Who scores next?Kane 61% Who keeps a clean sheet?Roma 47% Biggest match ahead?Le Havre – Auxerre Who rides their luck?Lazio +6.7 pts

The workbench behind 11footy: every player's numbers, every team's matches with and without a player, and what Vesta expects of the next match, filtered any way you like.

46,783matches since 2001-02
549,236shots on the pitch
18,519players
51kinds of forecast checked
Open the Lab ›