Lab
La LigaVesta · published Wed 7 Oct
MalagaMalaga
LDDLL20th · 4 pts
1–1
Full time
EspanyolEspanyol
12th · 8 ptsLDWLL
  • Puga28'
  • Chupete41'
  • Dotor66'
  • Aznou89'
  • Niño90+3'
  • Zaragoza13'
  • Hernandez24'
  • Zaragoza28'
  • El Hilali60'
  • Riedel84'
  • Hinojo87'
34%Malaga win
30%Draw · happened
36%Espanyol win

Match events

2 goals · 9 cards · 10 changes, the latest first
MalagaEspanyol
Adrián Niño · Rafa Garrido90+3'
Adam Aznou89'
87'Roger Hinojo
84'Clemens Riedel
Haitam AbaidaPablo Martínez82'
82'Marcos FernándezTyrhys Dolan
82'Pere MillaEdu Expósito
82'Roger HinojoRoberto Fernández
Izan MerinoFernando Calero74'
73'CalaBryan Zaragoza
Carlos Dotor66'
Carlos DotorJoaquín Muñoz62'
Adrián NiñoRafa Rodríguez62'
Adam AznouCarlos Puga62'
60'Omar El Hilali
57'Urko GonzalezJavi Hernandez
Half time
Chupete41'
Carlos Puga28'
28'Bryan Zaragoza
24'Javi Hernandez
13'Bryan Zaragoza · Javi Hernandez

Line-ups

from the official team sheets
Malaga 4-1-4-1line-ups4-2-3-1 Espanyol
Espanyol 4-2-3-1line-up
Malaga 4-1-4-1line-up
goal own goal assist yellow card red cardNamecame on in his place (the minute on hover)

Who played

goals: B. Zaragoza, A. Niño

Malaga

PlayerMinGAShxG
Alfonso Herrero9000.00
Ángel Recio9020.03
Rafita90100.00
David Larrubia9020.14
Dani Lorenzo9000.00
Chupe9010.05
Pablo Martínez8430.07
Fernando Calero7510.18
Carlos Puga6300.00
Rafa Rodríguez6330.16
Joaquín Muñoz6300.00
Carlos Dotor sub2700.00
Adam Aznou sub2710.02
Adrián Niño sub27120.12
Izan Merino sub1500.00
Haitam Abaida sub600.00

Espanyol

PlayerMinGAShxG
Ángel Fortuño9000.00
Omar El Hilali9000.00
Clemens Riedel9000.00
Leandro Cabrera9000.00
Quilindschy Hartman9000.00
Pol Lozano9000.00
Edu Expósito8310.13
Tyrhys Dolan8310.07
Roberto Fernández8340.43
Bryan Zaragoza74110.20
Javi Hernández58110.24
Urko Gonzalez sub3200.00
Cala sub1610.12
Roger Hinojo sub700.00
Pere Milla sub700.00
Marcos Fernández sub700.00

Stats

Match stats

58%Possession42%
88%Passes completed79%
15Shots9
7Shots on target4
8Corners2
10Fouls14
2Offsides1
4Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
2Saves6

Every shot

Malaga shoot to the right · filled: a goal · bigger: a better chance
Every shot of Malaga 1-1 Espanyol10' David Larrubia, expected goals 0.1019' David Larrubia, expected goals 0.0320' Roberto Fernández, expected goals 0.3222' Roberto Fernández, expected goals 0.0022' Javi Hernández, expected goals 0.2426' Rafa Rodríguez, expected goals 0.0230' Ángel Recio, expected goals 0.0339' Rafa Rodríguez, expected goals 0.0445' Roberto Fernández, expected goals 0.0447' Tyrhys Dolan, expected goals 0.0749' Chupe, expected goals 0.0550' Edu Expósito, expected goals 0.1354' Rafa Rodríguez, expected goals 0.1060' Pablo Martínez, expected goals 0.0266' Roberto Fernández, expected goals 0.0672' Fernando Calero, expected goals 0.1877' Pablo Martínez, expected goals 0.0378' Pablo Martínez, expected goals 0.0280' Ángel Recio, expected goals 0.0080' Adam Aznou, expected goals 0.0285' Adrián Niño, expected goals 0.0790' Cala, expected goals 0.1213' Bryan Zaragoza, expected goals 0.2093' Adrián Niño, expected goals 0.06

The match in expected goals

chance quality added up minute by minute
Expected goals minute by minute, Malaga 1-1 Espanyol00.510'15'30'45'60'75'90'0.781.1813' goal Bryan Zaragoza93' goal Adrián Niño

The best chances

PlayerTeamMinuteWhatxG
Roberto FernándezEspanyol20'Blocked0.32
Javi HernándezEspanyol22'Blocked0.24
Bryan ZaragozaEspanyol13'Goal0.20
Fernando CaleroMalaga72'Off target from a corner0.18
Edu ExpósitoEspanyol50'Off target0.13
CalaEspanyol90'Off target free kick0.12

Vesta's forecast, how it went

published before kick-offWhat came true ›

Draw: the outcome Vesta gave least, 31%.

1.2–1.2goals expected; the chances made were worth 0.8–1.2
15%for 1–1, the likeliest score
43%three goals or more · did not happen
46%Espanyol to score first · happened

Players to watch, how it went

chance to score before kick-offEvery player ›
Every chance was published before kick-off and is never changed afterwards. The full track record ›

What came true

13 of Vesta's forecasts, with the chance each had before kick-off
Result Draw 31%3rd of 3
Exact score 1–1 15%the likeliest
Goals in the match 2 goals 28%the likeliest
Both teams score Both teams score 52%the likeliest
Goals of Malaga 1 or more 71%
Goals of Espanyol 1 or more 72%
Winning margin Draw 31%the likeliest
Half-time Espanyol ahead at half-time 27%3rd of 3
Second half Malaga win the second half 29%3rd of 3
Halves Same goals in both halves 28%3rd of 3
Half-time and full-time Espanyol ahead at half-time, draw 6%7th of 9
First goal Espanyol score first 46%the likeliest
When the first goal came Minutes 1-15 29%the likeliest

Each of these happened. The bar is the chance Vesta gave it before kick-off; the likeliest when no other outcome of the same kind had more. A forecast does well when things like these happen about as often as their chances say, over many matches. The track record ›

Players

Every player, how it went

3 scored or set up a goal

Malaga

PlayerPlayedGoalsTo scoreAssistsTo assist
Adrián Niño27′18%–2%
David Larrubia90′–19%–12%
Rafa Rodríguez63′–16%–9%
Pablo Martínez84′–13%–20%
Dani Lorenzo90′–13%–8%
Joaquín Muñoz63′–13%–9%
Ángel Recio90′–6%–4%
Carlos Puga63′–5%–5%
Haitam Abaida6′–3%–1%
Izan Merino15′–3%–2%
Carlos Dotor27′–3%–1%
Alfonso Herrero90′–<1%–<1%

Espanyol

PlayerPlayedGoalsTo scoreAssistsTo assist
Bryan Zaragoza74′110%–10%
Javi Hernández58′–12%114%
Roberto Fernández83′–32%–6%
Tyrhys Dolan83′–9%–8%
Edu Expósito83′–8%–11%
Leandro Cabrera90′–8%–2%
Pol Lozano90′–6%–4%
Quilindschy Hartman90′–5%–10%
Marcos Fernández7′–5%–2%
Pere Milla7′–3%–1%
Cala16′–2%–1%
Clemens Riedel90′–2%–2%
Omar El Hilali90′–1%–5%
Urko Gonzalez32′–<1%–<1%
Roger Hinojo7′–<1%–<1%
Ángel Fortuño90′–<1%–<1%
No set of chances was logged before kick-off: these are worked out again here from the squads known that day. See the check