BundesligaVesta · published Wed 7 Oct- Svensson80'
- Schlotterbeck85'
- Veerman90+2'
- Nmecha90+4'
- Reis88'
- Stalmach90'
- Füllkrug90+2'
70%Borussia Dortmund win
19%Draw · happened
11%Werder Bremen win
Match events
4 goals · 3 cards · 8 changes, the latest first
Borussia Dortmund
Werder Bremen
Werder BremenFelix Nmecha90+4'
90+2'Niclas Füllkrug · Marco Grüll
Joey Veerman90+2'
90'Dariusz Stalmach
88'Ludovit Reis · Oskar Wójcik
Nico Schlotterbeck · Joey Veerman85'
81'Mick SchmetgensEren Dinkci
81'Paul Bright Max ErevbenagieChuki
Daniel Svensson · Fábio Silva80'
Joey VeermanJobe Bellingham72'
Konstantinos KaretsasMarcel Sabitzer72'
65'Dariusz StalmachYouri Regeer
65'Mitchell WeiserArthur
Fábio SilvaEthan Nwaneri63'
Half time
19'Oskar WójcikAmos Pieper
Line-ups
from the official team sheets
Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1line-ups4-2-3-1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen 4-2-3-1line-upBorussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1line-up
goal
own goal
assist
yellow card
red cardNamecame on in his place (the minute on hover)
Who played
goals: N. Schlotterbeck, D. Svensson, L. Reis, N. Füllkrug
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregor Kobel | 90 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Nico Schlotterbeck | 90 | 1 | 4 | 0.20 | |
| Kouakou Gadou | 90 | 1 | 0.01 | ||
| Waldemar Anton | 90 | 1 | 0.00 | ||
| Maximilian Beier | 90 | 3 | 0.37 | ||
| Daniel Svensson | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | |
| Felix Nmecha | 90 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Serhou Guirassy | 90 | 2 | 0.53 | ||
| Jobe Bellingham | 75 | 1 | 0.01 | ||
| Marcel Sabitzer | 75 | 4 | 0.23 | ||
| Ethan Nwaneri | 66 | 3 | 0.37 | ||
| Fabio Silva sub | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | |
| Joey Veerman sub | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | |
| Konstantinos Karetsas sub | 15 | 0 | 0.00 |
Werder Bremen
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Hein | 90 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Marco Friedl | 90 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Olivier Deman | 90 | 1 | 0.04 | ||
| Ludovit Reis | 90 | 1 | 3 | 0.19 | |
| Marco Grüll | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | |
| Niclas Füllkrug | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0.26 | |
| Eren Sami Dinkci | 84 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Chuki | 84 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Arthur | 68 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Youri Regeer | 68 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Amos Pieper | 18 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Oskar Wójcik sub | 72 | 1 | 2 | 0.03 | |
| Dariusz Stalmach sub | 22 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Mitchell Weiser sub | 22 | 0 | 0.00 | ||
| Mick Schmetgens sub | 6 | 1 | 0.08 | ||
| Paul Erevbenagie sub | 6 | 1 | 0.00 |
Stats
Match stats
72%Possession28%
90%Passes completed73%
21Shots11
9Shots on target4
9Corners3
10Fouls10
1Offsides4
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves7
Every shot
Borussia Dortmund shoot to the right · filled: a goal · bigger: a better chanceThe match in expected goals
chance quality added up minute by minuteThe best chances
| Player | Team | Minute | What | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Serhou Guirassy | Borussia Dortmund | 58' | Off target | 0.48 |
| Maximilian Beier | Borussia Dortmund | 43' | Saved | 0.23 |
| Daniel Svensson | Borussia Dortmund | 80' | Goal | 0.20 |
| Niclas Füllkrug | Werder Bremen | 54' | Saved | 0.19 |
| Ethan Nwaneri | Borussia Dortmund | 61' | Saved | 0.17 |
| Ethan Nwaneri | Borussia Dortmund | 54' | Off target | 0.15 |
Draw: Vesta's second choice of the three, at 19%.
2.3–0.8goals expected; the chances made were worth 1.9–0.6
5%for 2–2, 8th likeliest of 36 scores
62%three goals or more · happened
71%Borussia Dortmund to score first · happened
Every chance was published before kick-off and is never changed afterwards. The full track record ›
What came true
13 of Vesta's forecasts, with the chance each had before kick-off
Result
Draw
19%2nd of 3
Exact score
2–2
5%8th of 36
Goals in the match
4 goals
19%3rd of 7
Both teams score
Both teams score
54%the likeliest
Goals of Borussia Dortmund
2 or more
69%
Goals of Werder Bremen
2 or more
20%
Winning margin
Draw
19%4th of 7
Half-time
Level at half-time
35%2nd of 3
Second half
Second half level
30%2nd of 3
Halves
More goals in the second half
46%the likeliest
Half-time and full-time
Level at half-time, draw
11%3rd of 9
First goal
Borussia Dortmund score first
71%the likeliest
When the first goal came
Minutes 76-90+
4%6th of 6
Each of these happened. The bar is the chance Vesta gave it before kick-off; the likeliest when no other outcome of the same kind had more. A forecast does well when things like these happen about as often as their chances say, over many matches. The track record ›
Players
Every player, how it went
8 scored or set up a goal
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Played | Goals | To score | Assists | To assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Schlotterbeck | 90′ | 1 | 15% | – | 7% |
| Daniel Svensson | 90′ | 1 | 8% | – | 15% |
| Fabio Silva | 24′ | – | 3% | 1 | 4% |
| Joey Veerman | 15′ | – | 3% | 1 | 3% |
| Serhou Guirassy | 90′ | – | 53% | – | 16% |
| Maximilian Beier | 90′ | – | 30% | – | 26% |
| Felix Nmecha | 90′ | – | 20% | – | 13% |
| Ethan Nwaneri | 66′ | – | 15% | – | 17% |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 75′ | – | 10% | – | 14% |
| Jobe Bellingham | 75′ | – | 8% | – | 13% |
| Waldemar Anton | 90′ | – | 6% | – | 4% |
| Kouakou Gadou | 90′ | – | 4% | – | 6% |
| Konstantinos Karetsas | 15′ | – | 3% | – | 4% |
| Gregor Kobel | 90′ | – | <1% | – | <1% |
Werder Bremen
| Player | Played | Goals | To score | Assists | To assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niclas Füllkrug | 90′ | 1 | 17% | – | 6% |
| Ludovit Reis | 90′ | 1 | 8% | – | 4% |
| Marco Grüll | 90′ | – | 10% | 1 | 7% |
| Oskar Wójcik | 72′ | – | 1% | 1 | <1% |
| Eren Sami Dinkci | 84′ | – | 13% | – | 4% |
| Chuki | 84′ | – | 9% | – | 12% |
| Youri Regeer | 68′ | – | 6% | – | 7% |
| Arthur | 68′ | – | 3% | – | 5% |
| Olivier Deman | 90′ | – | 3% | – | 5% |
| Marco Friedl | 90′ | – | 2% | – | 1% |
| Dariusz Stalmach | 22′ | – | 2% | – | 1% |
| Amos Pieper | 18′ | – | 1% | – | 1% |
| Paul Erevbenagie | 6′ | – | 1% | – | 1% |
| Mitchell Weiser | 22′ | – | 1% | – | <1% |
| Mick Schmetgens | 6′ | – | <1% | – | <1% |
| Karl Hein | 90′ | – | <1% | – | <1% |
No set of chances was logged before kick-off: these are worked out again here from the squads known that day. See the check