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Barcelona v Bayern Munich v Paris Saint Germain
On the chances, Bayern Munich are the strongest of the three: +2.57 non-penalty xG difference a match in 2026-27, and an 11footy Elo of 1750. Vesta's title chances: Barcelona 93, Bayern Munich 95, Paris Saint Germain 67.
BarcelonaLa Liga · 8 matches · 24 points · Elo 1759Vesta: title 93 in 100, top four 100
Bayern MunichBundesliga · 5 matches · 11 points · Elo 1750Vesta: title 95 in 100, top four >99
Paris Saint GermainLigue 1 · 6 matches · 11 points · Elo 1672Vesta: title 67 in 100, top four 96Number by number
a match unless said · #N = the place in its own league · the best of the three in bold| Number | Barcelona | Bayern Munich | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points | 3.00 #1 | 2.20 #3 | 1.83 #6 |
| Points the chances deserved | 2.70 #1 | 2.77 #1 | 1.90 #1 |
| Goals for | 4.25 #1 | 3.20 #1 | 1.50 #10 |
| Goals against | 0.88 #2 | 0.80 #1 | 1.00 #6 |
| xG for | 3.62 #1 | 3.52 #1 | 2.15 #1 |
| xG against | 0.89 #1 | 0.80 #1 | 1.10 #3 |
| npxG difference a match | +2.25 #1 | +2.57 #1 | +0.79 #1 |
| Shots | 21.62 #1 | 23.40 #1 | 20.33 #1 |
| Shots against | 6.88 #1 | 7.00 #1 | 11.00 #2 |
| Big chances | 3.00 #1 | 4.00 #1 | 1.67 #2 |
| Big chances against | 1.12 #12 | 1.00 #6 | 1.33 #13 |
| Set-piece xG | 0.62 #1 | 0.60 #4 | 0.39 #2 |
| Set-piece xG against | 0.08 #1 | 0.18 #4 | 0.13 #3 |
| 11footy Elo | 1759 | 1750 | 1672 |
| Vesta: final points | 92 84–99 | 81 74–88 | 67 59–75 |
| Vesta: title | 93 | 95 | 67 |
| Vesta: top four | 100 | >99 | 96 |
| Vesta: bottom three | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Every number is the league season shown, divided by the matches played (points deserved: each match played again from both sides' shots with 11footy xG). Ranks are within each side's own league, so sides of different leagues are each placed among their own; the leagues are not the same strength. Vesta's numbers are for the current season only.