Which matches change the races most?

15 coming matches in the next 8 days, the biggest swing firstBiggest swings 15 matches

each side's chance if the home side wins · draws · the away side wins

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RasenBallsport LeipzigvElversbergSat 24 Oct, 15:30 CESTSat 15:30

RBL 68%X 20%SVE 12%

Vesta 68 · 20 · 13

Side and race	RBL win	Draw	SVE win	Now
RasenBallsport Leipzigtop four	66	56	48	61
Elversbergbottom three	13	9	4	11
Elversbergtop four	1	2	2	1

PaderbornvHamburger SVSat 24 Oct, 15:30 CESTSat 15:30

PAD 48%X 28%HSV 24%

Vesta 48 · 28 · 24

Side and race	PAD win	Draw	HSV win	Now
Hamburger SVbottom three	53	43	35	46
Paderbornbottom three	22	31	37	28

Bayer LeverkusenvFreiburgSun 18 Oct, 15:30 CESTSun 15:30

B04 57%X 23%SCF 20%

Vesta 57 · 23 · 20

Side and race	B04 win	Draw	SCF win	Now
Freiburgtop four	28	35	46	33
Bayer Leverkusentop four	84	76	68	79
Bayer Leverkusentitle	2	1	1	2

VfB StuttgartvBorussia M.GladbachFri 23 Oct, 20:30 CESTFri 20:30

VFB 69%X 18%BMG 13%

Vesta 69 · 18 · 13

Side and race	VFB win	Draw	BMG win	Now
Borussia M.Gladbachbottom three	71	65	54	68
VfB Stuttgarttop four	32	25	19	29

Hamburger SVvVfB StuttgartSat 17 Oct, 15:30 CESTSat 15:30

HSV 22%X 23%VFB 55%

Vesta 21 · 23 · 55

Side and race	HSV win	Draw	VFB win	Now
Hamburger SVbottom three	35	43	51	46
VfB Stuttgarttop four	21	25	34	29

AugsburgvUnion BerlinSat 24 Oct, 15:30 CESTSat 15:30

FCA 48%X 26%FCU 26%

Vesta 48 · 26 · 26

Side and race	FCA win	Draw	FCU win	Now
Union Berlinbottom three	56	49	40	50
Augsburgbottom three	10	16	20	14

Union BerlinvBorussia DortmundSat 17 Oct, 15:30 CESTSat 15:30

FCU 17%X 25%BVB 58%

Vesta 18 · 25 · 58

Side and race	FCU win	Draw	BVB win	Now
Union Berlinbottom three	38	50	53	50
Borussia Dortmundtop four	81	82	89	86
Borussia Dortmundtitle	2	2	4	3

Borussia M.GladbachvHoffenheimSun 18 Oct, 17:30 CESTSun 17:30

BMG 32%X 25%TSG 43%

Vesta 32 · 25 · 43

Side and race	BMG win	Draw	TSG win	Now
Borussia M.Gladbachbottom three	59	70	74	68
Hoffenheimbottom three	11	8	5	8
Hoffenheimtop four	1	1	3	2

Bayern MunichvRasenBallsport LeipzigSat 17 Oct, 18:30 CESTSat 18:30

FCB 73%X 16%RBL 11%

Vesta 73 · 16 · 11

Side and race	FCB win	Draw	RBL win	Now
RasenBallsport Leipzigtop four	59	64	73	61
Bayern Munichtitle	96	93	90	95
RasenBallsport Leipzigtitle	<1	1	2	1

FC ColognevSchalke 04Sat 24 Oct, 15:30 CESTSat 15:30

KOE 46%X 26%S04 28%

Vesta 46 · 27 · 28

Side and race	KOE win	Draw	S04 win	Now
Schalke 04bottom three	29	22	15	23
FC Colognebottom three	15	24	28	21

Werder BremenvPaderbornSat 17 Oct, 15:30 CESTSat 15:30

SVW 43%X 29%PAD 28%

Vesta 43 · 29 · 28

Side and race	SVW win	Draw	PAD win	Now
Paderbornbottom three	34	28	20	28
Werder Bremenbottom three	8	14	18	13

Schalke 04vMainz 05Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 CESTSat 15:30

S04 33%X 27%M05 40%

Vesta 33 · 26 · 40

Side and race	S04 win	Draw	M05 win	Now
Schalke 04bottom three	17	23	28	23
Mainz 05top four	3	5	8	5
Mainz 05bottom three	3	3	1	2

Borussia DortmundvEintracht FrankfurtSat 24 Oct, 18:30 CESTSat 18:30

BVB 69%X 19%SGE 12%

Vesta 69 · 19 · 12

Side and race	BVB win	Draw	SGE win	Now
Borussia Dortmundtop four	88	83	78	86
Eintracht Frankfurtbottom three	18	14	10	16
Borussia Dortmundtitle	3	2	2	3

ElversbergvAugsburgSat 17 Oct, 15:30 CESTSat 15:30

SVE 46%X 26%FCA 28%

Vesta 46 · 26 · 28

Side and race	SVE win	Draw	FCA win	Now
Augsburgbottom three	18	14	9	14
Elversbergbottom three	7	13	16	11
Elversbergtop four	2	1	<1	1

Mainz 05vWerder BremenSat 24 Oct, 15:30 CESTSat 15:30

M05 55%X 24%SVW 21%

Vesta 55 · 24 · 21

Side and race	M05 win	Draw	SVW win	Now
Werder Bremenbottom three	14	13	7	13
Mainz 05top four	7	4	3	5
Mainz 05bottom three	2	2	4	2

For each coming league match Vesta's 10,000 runs of the season are split by the result of that match: the share of runs where a side finishes first, in the top four or in the bottom three, among the runs with a home win, a draw or an away win. "Now" weighs the three by how often each result comes up. Green = the side's best result, red = its worst. Chances in 100.