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Who is over- or under-performing?

Lazio have 16 points from matches whose chances deserved 9.3 (+6.7), the luckiest side of the five leagues in 2026-27. The unluckiest: Venezia, 0 from 6.8 (−6.8).

League data to Fri 16 Oct · 11footy xG

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LeagueAll five leaguesPremier LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaLigue 1 Season2026-27 so far2025-262024-252023-242022-232021-222020-212019-202018-192017-182016-172015-162014-15 Show

Above or below the chances

96 sides · across: points the chances deserved · up: points above them, down: below

0102030−10−50+5+10 LazioReal BetisCagliariLilleManchester CityLe HavreNottingham ForestVillarrealFulhamVenezia

Points deserved →↑ Points above the chances

Every side

2026-27 · sort by any column

CSV Share view

#	Side	Pl	Pts	Deserved	Gap↓	GF	xGF	GF − xGF	GA	xGA	GA − xGA	npxGD /m
1	LazioSerie A	6	16	9.3	+6.7	11	9.9	+1.1	4	8.9	−4.9	+0.16
2	Real BetisLa Liga	8	19	12.4	+6.6	14	13.5	+0.5	9	11.5	−2.5	+0.26
3	CagliariSerie A	6	13	6.6	+6.4	6	5.7	+0.3	3	8.6	−5.6	−0.62
4	LilleLigue 1	6	13	6.8	+6.2	9	7.3	+1.7	4	9.4	−5.4	−0.35
5	Manchester CityPremier League	6	18	12.0	+6.0	16	11.9	+4.1	5	6.5	−1.5	+0.90
6	MonacoLigue 1	6	14	8.6	+5.4	10	7.7	+2.3	5	7.0	−2.0	+0.25
7	FrosinoneSerie A	7	13	8.0	+5.0	13	11.3	+1.7	9	14.6	−5.6	−0.25
8	Real SociedadLa Liga	8	13	8.5	+4.5	12	8.9	+3.1	15	13.6	+1.4	−0.49
9	AtalantaSerie A	6	9	5.0	+4.0	8	7.0	+1.0	8	12.4	−4.4	−0.78
10	Atletico MadridLa Liga	8	19	15.3	+3.7	18	14.6	+3.4	8	8.4	−0.4	+0.87
11	RennesLigue 1	6	13	9.4	+3.6	10	10.8	−0.8	8	9.5	−1.5	+0.21
12	HullPremier League	6	9	5.9	+3.1	8	6.0	+2.0	6	8.8	−2.8	−0.34
13	BrightonPremier League	6	13	9.9	+3.1	18	12.5	+5.5	5	9.8	−4.8	+0.31
14	Borussia DortmundBundesliga	5	13	9.9	+3.1	11	8.4	+2.6	4	4.5	−0.5	+0.79
15	AugsburgBundesliga	5	8	4.9	+3.1	13	9.5	+3.5	8	13.7	−5.7	−0.84
16	Werder BremenBundesliga	5	8	5.0	+3.0	10	5.8	+4.2	10	8.3	+1.7	−0.35
17	ElversbergBundesliga	5	7	4.0	+3.0	8	6.0	+2.0	8	10.1	−2.1	−0.84
18	Hamburger SVBundesliga	5	6	3.1	+2.9	5	4.1	+0.9	15	10.6	+4.4	−1.31
19	LecceSerie A	6	6	3.2	+2.8	6	5.3	+0.7	12	14.1	−2.1	−1.47
20	SevillaLa Liga	8	14	11.2	+2.8	13	10.5	+2.5	12	10.8	+1.2	−0.23
21	Crystal PalacePremier League	6	7	4.3	+2.7	9	7.0	+2.0	12	14.3	−2.3	−1.23
22	ArsenalPremier League	6	15	12.6	+2.4	10	10.5	−0.5	5	4.8	+0.2	+0.95
23	BarcelonaLa Liga	8	24	21.6	+2.4	34	29.0	+5.0	7	7.1	−0.1	+2.25
24	FreiburgBundesliga	5	13	10.7	+2.3	14	10.2	+3.8	4	4.2	−0.2	+1.19
25	Newcastle UnitedPremier League	6	8	5.8	+2.2	10	7.3	+2.7	13	10.5	+2.5	−0.41
26	Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga	6	8	5.8	+2.2	10	9.1	+0.9	16	13.8	+2.2	−0.64
27	InterSerie A	6	16	13.9	+2.1	18	16.2	+1.8	8	6.2	+1.8	+1.53
28	ComoSerie A	6	11	9.1	+1.9	9	10.1	−1.1	6	9.0	−3.0	+0.17
29	IpswichPremier League	6	9	7.5	+1.5	9	7.8	+1.2	12	9.5	+2.5	−0.15
30	EvertonPremier League	6	10	8.6	+1.4	8	8.6	−0.6	5	8.2	−3.2	+0.07
31	AC MilanSerie A	6	12	10.6	+1.4	11	9.9	+1.1	5	6.0	−1.0	+0.63
32	BrentfordPremier League	6	10	8.7	+1.3	12	10.8	+1.2	6	8.7	−2.7	+0.35
33	GetafeLa Liga	8	8	6.7	+1.3	4	5.4	−1.4	10	11.8	−1.8	−0.61
34	NiceLigue 1	6	8	6.8	+1.2	5	5.9	−0.9	7	8.3	−1.3	−0.27
35	ChelseaPremier League	6	10	8.9	+1.1	15	9.9	+5.1	13	8.2	+4.8	+0.28
36	AlavesLa Liga	8	11	9.9	+1.1	12	9.5	+2.5	8	11.1	−3.1	−0.11
37	CoventryPremier League	6	6	4.9	+1.1	5	5.3	−0.3	11	10.6	+0.4	−0.88
38	AuxerreLigue 1	6	6	5.0	+1.0	8	6.2	+1.8	16	12.3	+3.7	−0.88
39	Schalke 04Bundesliga	5	5	4.1	+0.9	4	5.8	−1.8	6	10.9	−4.9	−1.01
40	LeedsPremier League	6	9	8.1	+0.9	8	8.0	0.0	5	8.0	−3.0	−0.01
41	Rayo VallecanoLa Liga	7	8	7.2	+0.8	11	8.4	+2.6	16	12.6	+3.4	−0.26
42	Real MadridLa Liga	8	18	17.2	+0.8	19	18.9	+0.1	8	8.7	−0.7	+1.17
43	StrasbourgLigue 1	6	7	6.3	+0.7	11	7.2	+3.8	12	9.6	+2.4	−0.13
44	RomaSerie A	6	14	13.5	+0.5	14	15.4	−1.4	3	5.1	−2.1	+1.71
45	LorientLigue 1	6	8	7.6	+0.4	6	6.6	−0.6	6	7.3	−1.3	+0.02
46	VfB StuttgartBundesliga	5	6	5.7	+0.3	8	9.2	−1.2	9	12.1	−3.1	−0.58
47	LevanteLa Liga	8	7	6.9	+0.1	12	10.0	+2.0	16	17.3	−1.3	−0.72
48	Paris FCLigue 1	6	11	10.9	+0.1	8	9.0	−1.0	4	4.7	−0.7	+0.46
49	LiverpoolPremier League	6	9	9.1	−0.1	7	9.5	−2.5	7	8.2	−1.2	+0.21
50	TorinoSerie A	6	7	7.1	−0.1	7	6.4	+0.6	9	8.1	+0.9	−0.28
51	LyonLigue 1	6	11	11.3	−0.3	11	10.5	+0.5	4	6.0	−2.0	+0.76
52	Paris Saint GermainLigue 1	6	11	11.4	−0.4	9	12.9	−3.9	6	6.6	−0.6	+0.79
53	NapoliSerie A	6	10	10.7	−0.7	10	11.6	−1.6	6	8.3	−2.3	+0.42
54	PaderbornBundesliga	5	4	4.8	−0.8	3	4.5	−1.5	7	7.2	−0.2	−0.55
55	Le MansLigue 1	7	6	6.9	−0.9	10	8.6	+1.4	15	14.5	+0.5	−0.62
56	ParmaSerie A	6	4	4.9	−0.9	4	4.7	−0.7	10	10.3	−0.3	−0.80
57	Racing SantanderLa Liga	8	8	9.1	−1.1	13	10.7	+2.3	23	16.5	+6.5	−0.53
58	Aston VillaPremier League	6	5	6.1	−1.1	6	5.7	+0.3	11	10.5	+0.5	−0.81
59	AngersLigue 1	6	7	8.2	−1.2	7	8.7	−1.7	10	9.0	+1.0	+0.08
60	JuventusSerie A	6	11	12.2	−1.2	9	8.3	+0.7	5	3.1	+1.9	+0.86
61	Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga	5	10	11.3	−1.3	14	13.4	+0.6	8	6.0	+2.0	+1.49
62	SassuoloSerie A	7	8	9.3	−1.3	12	11.3	+0.7	14	11.1	+2.9	+0.14
63	Celta VigoLa Liga	8	8	9.4	−1.4	8	7.7	+0.3	6	10.9	−4.9	−0.39
64	RasenBallsport LeipzigBundesliga	5	9	10.5	−1.5	15	12.6	+2.4	5	6.0	−1.0	+1.31
65	UdineseSerie A	6	4	5.6	−1.6	9	6.8	+2.2	13	11.0	+2.0	−0.70
66	MarseilleLigue 1	6	6	7.6	−1.6	9	10.2	−1.2	8	11.8	−3.8	−0.40
67	OsasunaLa Liga	8	8	9.6	−1.6	8	10.2	−2.2	18	13.2	+4.8	−0.57
68	Union BerlinBundesliga	5	4	5.6	−1.6	5	5.9	−0.9	17	10.6	+6.4	−0.77
69	Mainz 05Bundesliga	5	7	8.7	−1.7	13	11.4	+1.6	10	8.3	+1.7	+0.79
70	TroyesLigue 1	6	4	5.7	−1.7	4	6.8	−2.8	13	10.3	+2.7	−0.59
71	GenoaSerie A	6	4	5.7	−1.7	5	5.3	−0.3	11	8.2	+2.8	−0.63
72	LensLigue 1	6	7	8.7	−1.7	11	11.2	−0.2	10	9.4	+0.6	+0.04
73	FC CologneBundesliga	6	7	8.9	−1.9	8	10.8	−2.8	11	10.1	+0.9	+0.12
74	ValenciaLa Liga	8	5	6.9	−1.9	6	6.2	−0.2	15	13.5	+1.5	−0.81
75	ToulouseLigue 1	7	9	11.0	−2.0	12	13.3	−1.3	11	11.6	−0.6	+0.02
76	MalagaLa Liga	8	4	6.2	−2.2	4	7.1	−3.1	13	14.1	−1.1	−0.97
77	Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga	9	11	13.7	−2.7	13	10.7	+2.3	12	8.7	+3.3	+0.22
78	Bayern MunichBundesliga	5	11	13.8	−2.8	16	17.6	−1.6	4	4.0	0.0	+2.57
79	BrestLigue 1	6	8	10.9	−2.9	12	11.3	+0.7	9	6.8	+2.2	+0.62
80	Manchester UnitedPremier League	6	6	9.0	−3.0	9	9.6	−0.6	9	7.9	+1.1	+0.15
81	ElcheLa Liga	8	6	9.3	−3.3	11	9.2	+1.8	17	13.3	+3.7	−0.52
82	Athletic ClubLa Liga	6	8	11.8	−3.8	7	10.4	−3.4	6	7.0	−1.0	+0.57
83	TottenhamPremier League	6	3	7.2	−4.2	3	6.4	−3.4	9	9.8	−0.8	−0.44
84	Borussia M.GladbachBundesliga	5	0	4.4	−4.4	7	8.4	−1.4	18	13.9	+4.1	−1.41
85	BolognaSerie A	6	5	9.6	−4.6	5	8.0	−3.0	7	6.5	+0.5	+0.26
86	SunderlandPremier League	6	4	8.8	−4.8	6	10.2	−4.2	12	9.2	+2.8	+0.03
87	EspanyolLa Liga	8	8	12.8	−4.8	11	10.6	+0.4	11	8.5	+2.5	+0.27
88	HoffenheimBundesliga	5	3	7.9	−4.9	9	8.9	+0.1	13	7.4	+5.6	+0.15
89	FiorentinaSerie A	6	4	9.1	−5.1	7	9.7	−2.7	14	9.5	+4.5	+0.02
90	MonzaSerie A	6	4	9.6	−5.6	9	10.2	−1.2	15	8.1	+6.9	+0.22
91	BournemouthPremier League	6	3	8.7	−5.7	7	8.0	−1.0	13	7.7	+5.3	+0.06
92	Le HavreLigue 1	6	2	8.2	−6.2	4	9.0	−5.0	8	9.0	−1.0	+0.12
93	Nottingham ForestPremier League	6	5	11.4	−6.4	5	10.8	−5.8	8	5.9	+2.1	+0.69
94	VillarrealLa Liga	8	8	14.5	−6.5	13	17.0	−4.0	13	9.9	+3.1	+0.69
95	FulhamPremier League	6	2	8.6	−6.6	6	10.5	−4.5	10	8.7	+1.3	+0.29
96	VeneziaSerie A	6	0	6.8	−6.8	5	10.3	−5.3	16	13.8	+2.2	−0.58

"Deserved" plays every match again from both sides' shots, each shot a goal with its 11footy xG: the chance of a win, a draw and a defeat, worth 3 × win + draw. A side far above it has won more than its chances usually win. How 11footy xG is made

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