Position2of 20
Points12in 5
Won, drawn, lost4-0-1
Goals8for, 4 against
FormWWWWL
Next matches
All 33Sat 10 Oct
Sun 18 Oct
TBC
Sat 24 Oct
TBC
Sun 1 Nov
TBC
Sat 7 Nov
TBC
Results
2026-27, 33 still to playSat 19 Sep
FT
Sat 12 Sep
FT
Sun 6 Sep
FT
Mon 31 Aug
FT
Fri 21 Aug
FT
Season projection
Model estimateMost likely finish1st45% of simulations
Final points758 in 10 between 66 and 84
Title45%
Top 496%
Bottom 3–
Final record22-8-7Won, drawn, lost
Goals scored678 in 10 between 58 and 77
Goals conceded378 in 10 between 30 and 45
Goal difference+30
A week of matches ago: title 55%, top 4 99%, bottom 3 –, 78 final points.
Chance of each final position, in %
451
362
113
44
25
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Every remaining Premier League match simulated with Vesta’s strengths of today. The whole projected table
In numbers
- 4thof 96 teams of the five leagues by Vesta’s strength rating
- 4wins in a row, the longest run of 2026-27
- 2clean sheets in a row, the longest of 2026-27
- 38%of the team's league goals scored by Bukayo Saka
- 57%of matches won since 2001-02
- 7–0Biggest win since 2001-02: Arsenal 7–0 Middlesbrough
- 2–8Heaviest defeat: Manchester United 8–2 Arsenal
In Europe
125 matches in the European cups since 2014-15Won, drawn, lost76-23-26
Goals253– 120
Finals2none won
Vesta and Arsenal
347 league matches since 2017-18- 63%of Arsenal's matches won by Vesta's favourite
- 183wins in 283 matches as Vesta's favourite
- 19%won with 19%: Arsenal 3–1 Chelsea
- 19%won with 19%: Chelsea 2–4 Arsenal
- 19%won with 19%: Chelsea 0–1 Arsenal
- 83%lost at 83%: Arsenal 0–1 West Ham
- 78%lost at 78%: Arsenal 0–2 Aston Villa
- 76%lost at 76%: Arsenal 0–2 West Ham
Vesta's forecasts reconstructed with each season hidden (how).
By the minute
2026-27, 5 matches| Goals | 1-15 | 16-30 | 31-45+ | 46-60 | 61-75 | 76-90+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Against | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
- 0points won in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 0points thrown away in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 3points won after going behind
- 0points dropped after going ahead
Goal minutes. Quarters of an hour by the minute of the match reports; stoppage time counts in the last quarter of each half.
League position
2026-27Strength
Rating 1,704Vesta's rating before every match since 2014-15. 1,500 is an average team of these leagues.
Squad
Players used in 2026-27| Player | Apps | Min | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GabrielCentre-back | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 |
| David RayaGoalkeeper | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 |
| Kai HavertzForward | 5 | 442 | 2 | 0 |
| Riccardo CalafioriLeft-back | 5 | 424 | 0 | 2 |
| Bukayo SakaForward | 5 | 422 | 3 | 0 |
| Declan RiceMidfielder | 5 | 418 | 0 | 2 |
| Martin OdegaardMidfielder | 5 | 391 | 2 | 0 |
| Christos TzolisLeft winger | 5 | 371 | 0 | 1 |
| Ben WhiteRight-back | 4 | 317 | 0 | 1 |
| Ezri Konsa NgoyoCentre-back | 4 | 280 | 0 | 0 |
| Myles Lewis-SkellyLeft-back | 4 | 280 | 0 | 0 |
| Cristhian MosqueraCentre-back | 2 | 170 | 0 | 0 |
| Bruno GuimarãesMidfielder | 3 | 122 | 1 | 0 |
| Jurriën TimberRight-back | 2 | 104 | 0 | 0 |
| Martín ZubimendiDefensive midfielder | 5 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| Eberechi EzeAttacking midfielder | 4 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| Mikel MerinoMidfielder | 5 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| Piero HincapiéCentre-back | 2 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| Viktor GyokeresForward | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| Noni MaduekeRight winger | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| Max DowmanAttacking midfielder | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 |

