Position12of 20
Points5in 5
Won, drawn, lost1-2-2
Goals8for, 8 against
FormLWDLD
Next matches
All 33Sat 10 Oct
Sun 18 Oct
TBC
Sun 25 Oct
TBC
Sat 31 Oct
TBC
Sat 7 Nov
TBC
Results
2026-27, 33 still to playSun 20 Sep
FT
Sun 13 Sep
FT
Sun 6 Sep
FT
Sun 30 Aug
FT
Sat 22 Aug
FT
Season projection
Model estimateMost likely finish4th15% of simulations
Final points598 in 10 between 49 and 68
Title1%
Top 435%
Bottom 3<1%
Final record16-11-11Won, drawn, lost
Goals scored658 in 10 between 56 and 74
Goals conceded528 in 10 between 44 and 60
Goal difference+13
A week of matches ago: title <1%, top 4 40%, bottom 3 <1%, 59 final points.
Chance of each final position, in %
11
52
133
154
135
126
107
78
69
510
311
312
213
114
15
16
17
18
19
20
Every remaining Premier League match simulated with Vesta’s strengths of today. The whole projected table
In numbers
- 25thof 96 teams of the five leagues by Vesta’s strength rating
- 3matches without a win, running now
- 38%of the team's league goals scored by Bruno Fernandes
- 58%of matches won since 2001-02
- 9–0Biggest win since 2001-02: Manchester United 9–0 Southampton
- 0–7Heaviest defeat: Liverpool 7–0 Manchester United
In Europe
114 matches in the European cups since 2015-16Won, drawn, lost62-24-28
Goals212– 117
Finals3won Europa League 2016-17
Vesta and Manchester United
347 league matches since 2017-18- 55%of Manchester United's matches won by Vesta's favourite
- 145wins in 246 matches as Vesta's favourite
- 9%won with 9%: Manchester City 1–2 Manchester United
- 10%won with 10%: Manchester City 2–3 Manchester United
- 12%won with 12%: Manchester City 1–2 Manchester United
- 77%lost at 77%: Manchester United 0–2 Cardiff
- 74%lost at 74%: Manchester United 0–1 West Bromwich Albion
- 68%lost at 68%: Manchester United 1–2 Sheffield United
Vesta's forecasts reconstructed with each season hidden (how).
By the minute
2026-27, 5 matches| Goals | 1-15 | 16-30 | 31-45+ | 46-60 | 61-75 | 76-90+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Against | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
- 1point won in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 0points thrown away in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 4points won after going behind
- 2points dropped after going ahead
Goal minutes. Quarters of an hour by the minute of the match reports; stoppage time counts in the last quarter of each half.
League position
2026-27Strength
Rating 1,579Vesta's rating before every match since 2014-15. 1,500 is an average team of these leagues.

