Position3of 20
Points10in 5
Won, drawn, lost3-1-1
Goals16for, 5 against
FormWLDWW
Next matches
All 33Sat 10 Oct
Sun 18 Oct
TBC
Sat 24 Oct
TBC
Sat 31 Oct
TBC
Sat 7 Nov
TBC
Results
2026-27, 33 still to playSat 19 Sep
FT
Sun 13 Sep
FT
Sat 5 Sep
FT
Sun 30 Aug
FT
Sun 23 Aug
FT
Season projection
Model estimateMost likely finish3rd22% of simulations
Final points628 in 10 between 53 and 72
Title3%
Top 454%
Bottom 3<1%
Final record18-10-11Won, drawn, lost
Goals scored718 in 10 between 62 and 80
Goals conceded508 in 10 between 42 and 58
Goal difference+21
A week of matches ago: title <1%, top 4 32%, bottom 3 <1%, 58 final points.
Chance of each final position, in %
31
102
223
184
145
106
77
58
39
310
211
112
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Every remaining Premier League match simulated with Vesta’s strengths of today. The whole projected table
In numbers
- 30thof 96 teams of the five leagues by Vesta’s strength rating
- 2wins in a row, running now
- 2wins in a row, the longest run of 2026-27
- 2clean sheets in a row, the longest of 2026-27
- 19%of the team's league goals scored by Pascal Groß
- 32%of matches won since 2017-18
- 6–0Biggest win since 2017-18: Brighton 6–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- 0–7Heaviest defeat: Nottingham Forest 7–0 Brighton
In Europe
10 matches in the European cups since 2023-24Won, drawn, lost6-2-2
Goals15– 9
Vesta and Brighton
347 league matches since 2017-18- 44%of Brighton's matches won by Vesta's favourite
- 64wins in 165 matches as Vesta's favourite
- 15%won with 15%: Brighton 3–2 Manchester City
- 16%won with 16%: Tottenham 0–1 Brighton
- 16%won with 16%: Liverpool 0–1 Brighton
- 76%lost at 76%: Brighton 1–5 Everton
- 69%lost at 69%: Nottingham Forest 3–1 Brighton
- 66%lost at 66%: Brighton 1–3 West Ham
Vesta's forecasts reconstructed with each season hidden (how).
By the minute
2026-27, 5 matches| Goals | 1-15 | 16-30 | 31-45+ | 46-60 | 61-75 | 76-90+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Against | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
- 0points won in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 0points thrown away in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 1point won after going behind
- 0points dropped after going ahead
Goal minutes. Quarters of an hour by the minute of the match reports; stoppage time counts in the last quarter of each half.
League position
2026-27Strength
Rating 1,559Vesta's rating before every match since 2014-15. 1,500 is an average team of these leagues.

