Position5of 20
Points9in 5
Won, drawn, lost2-3-0
Goals7for, 3 against
FormWDDWD
Next matches
All 33Sat 10 Oct
Sun 18 Oct
TBC
Sun 25 Oct
TBC
Sat 31 Oct
TBC
Sat 7 Nov
TBC
Results
2026-27, 33 still to playSun 20 Sep
FT
Mon 14 Sep
FT
Sat 5 Sep
FT
Sun 30 Aug
FT
Sat 22 Aug
FT
Season projection
Model estimateMost likely finish7th10% of simulations
Final points548 in 10 between 45 and 63
Title<1%
Top 413%
Bottom 32%
Final record14-12-12Won, drawn, lost
Goals scored528 in 10 between 44 and 61
Goals conceded488 in 10 between 40 and 57
Goal difference+4
A week of matches ago: title <1%, top 4 10%, bottom 3 4%, 52 final points.
Chance of each final position, in %
1
12
43
74
95
106
107
108
99
810
711
612
513
414
315
316
217
118
19
20
Every remaining Premier League match simulated with Vesta’s strengths of today. The whole projected table
In numbers
- 38thof 96 teams of the five leagues by Vesta’s strength rating
- 5matches unbeaten, running now
- 29%of the team's league goals scored by Jayden Bogle
- 32%of matches won since 2001-02
- 6–1Biggest win since 2001-02: Charlton Athletic 1–6 Leeds
- 0–7Heaviest defeat: Manchester City 7–0 Leeds
Vesta and Leeds
157 league matches since 2020-21- 57%of Leeds's matches won by Vesta's favourite
- 32wins in 49 matches as Vesta's favourite
- 7%won with 7%: Manchester City 1–2 Leeds
- 8%won with 8%: Liverpool 1–2 Leeds
- 15%won with 15%: Leeds 3–0 Chelsea
- 53%lost at 53%: Leeds 0–1 Newcastle United
- 52%lost at 52%: Leeds 2–3 Fulham
- 51%lost at 51%: Leeds 0–1 Sunderland
Vesta's forecasts reconstructed with each season hidden (how).
By the minute
2026-27, 5 matches| Goals | 1-15 | 16-30 | 31-45+ | 46-60 | 61-75 | 76-90+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Against | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
- 2points won in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 0points thrown away in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 1point won after going behind
- 2points dropped after going ahead
Goal minutes. Quarters of an hour by the minute of the match reports; stoppage time counts in the last quarter of each half.
League position
2026-27Strength
Rating 1,533Vesta's rating before every match since 2014-15. 1,500 is an average team of these leagues.
Squad
Players used in 2026-27| Player | Apps | Min | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James TraffordGoalkeeper | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan AmpaduMidfielder | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 |
| James JustinRight-back | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 |
| Anton StachMidfielder | 5 | 450 | 1 | 0 |
| Tarik MuharemovicCentre-back | 5 | 450 | 0 | 1 |
| Dominic Calvert-LewinForward | 5 | 424 | 2 | 1 |
| Jayden BogleRight wing-back | 5 | 376 | 2 | 0 |
| Nico ElvediCentre-back | 4 | 327 | 0 | 0 |
| Noah OkaforForward | 5 | 308 | 1 | 0 |
| Ao TanakaMidfielder | 4 | 257 | 0 | 1 |
| Gabriel GudmundssonLeft-back | 3 | 255 | 0 | 0 |
| Brenden AaronsonAttacking midfielder | 5 | 198 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaka BijolCentre-back | 3 | 167 | 0 | 0 |
| Harry WilsonRight winger | 4 | 141 | 0 | 0 |
| Joe RodonCentre-back | 2 | 123 | 0 | 0 |
| Lukas NmechaForward | 4 | 57 | 0 | 1 |
| Daniel JamesForward | 3 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| Melvin BardCentre-back | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| Sean LongstaffMidfielder | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Jean NégoceLeft winger | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |

