Position1of 20
Points15in 5
Won, drawn, lost5-0-0
Goals13for, 5 against
FormWWWWW
Next matches
All 33Sun 11 Oct
Sat 17 Oct
TBC
Sat 24 Oct
TBC
Sat 31 Oct
TBC
Sat 7 Nov
TBC
Results
2026-27, 33 still to playSun 20 Sep
FT
Sun 13 Sep
FT
Sat 5 Sep
FT
Fri 28 Aug
FT
Sun 23 Aug
FT
Season projection
Model estimateMost likely finish1st46% of simulations
Final points758 in 10 between 66 and 84
Title46%
Top 496%
Bottom 3–
Final record22-8-8Won, drawn, lost
Goals scored758 in 10 between 66 and 85
Goals conceded458 in 10 between 37 and 53
Goal difference+31
A week of matches ago: title 41%, top 4 98%, bottom 3 –, 76 final points.
Chance of each final position, in %
461
352
113
54
25
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Every remaining Premier League match simulated with Vesta’s strengths of today. The whole projected table
In numbers
- 6thof 96 teams of the five leagues by Vesta’s strength rating
- 5wins in a row, running now
- 5wins in a row, the longest run of 2026-27
- 2clean sheets in a row, the longest of 2026-27
- 38%of the team's league goals scored by Erling Haaland
- 57%of matches won since 2002-03
- 8–0Biggest win since 2002-03: Manchester City 8–0 Watford
- 1–8Heaviest defeat: Middlesbrough 8–1 Manchester City
In Europe
128 matches in the European cups since 2014-15Won, drawn, lost75-24-29
Goals276– 145
Finals2won Champions League 2022-23
Vesta and Manchester City
347 league matches since 2017-18- 73%of Manchester City's matches won by Vesta's favourite
- 249wins in 341 matches as Vesta's favourite
- 27%won with 27%: Liverpool 1–2 Manchester City
- 36%won with 36%: Manchester City 2–1 Arsenal
- 37%won with 37%: Tottenham 1–3 Manchester City
- 87%lost at 87%: Manchester City 2–3 Crystal Palace
- 84%lost at 84%: Manchester City 0–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- 83%lost at 83%: Manchester City 0–2 Crystal Palace
Vesta's forecasts reconstructed with each season hidden (how).
By the minute
2026-27, 5 matches| Goals | 1-15 | 16-30 | 31-45+ | 46-60 | 61-75 | 76-90+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
- 2points won in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 0points thrown away in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 3points won after going behind
- 0points dropped after going ahead
Goal minutes. Quarters of an hour by the minute of the match reports; stoppage time counts in the last quarter of each half.
League position
2026-27Strength
Rating 1,687Vesta's rating before every match since 2014-15. 1,500 is an average team of these leagues.

