Position12of 18
Points4in 4
Won, drawn, lost1-1-2
Goals3for, 5 against
FormDLLW
Next matches
All 30Sat 10 Oct
Paderborn
VfB Stuttgart
23%27%50%
Sat 17 Oct
TBC
Werder Bremen
Paderborn
Forecast soon
Sat 24 Oct
TBC
Paderborn
Hamburger SV
Forecast soon
Sat 31 Oct
TBC
Borussia M.Gladbach
Paderborn
Forecast soon
Sat 7 Nov
TBC
Paderborn
Eintracht Frankfurt
Forecast soon
Results
2026-27, 30 still to playSun 20 Sep
FT
Paderborn3
Hoffenheim1
Sat 12 Sep
FT
Borussia Dortmund3
Paderborn0
Sat 5 Sep
FT
Paderborn0
Freiburg1
Sat 29 Aug
FT
Mainz 050
Paderborn0
Season projection
Model estimateMost likely finish14th13% of simulations
Final points388 in 10 between 30 and 47
Title–
Top 4<1%
Bottom 323%
Final record10-9-16Won, drawn, lost
Goals scored438 in 10 between 36 and 51
Goals conceded578 in 10 between 48 and 66
Goal difference-14
A week of matches ago: title –, top 4 <1%, bottom 3 35%, 36 final points.
Chance of each final position, in %
1
2
3
4
5
26
37
48
59
710
811
1012
1213
1314
1315
1116
817
418
Every remaining Bundesliga match simulated with Vesta’s strengths of today. The whole projected table
In numbers
- 73rdof 96 teams of the five leagues by Vesta’s strength rating
- 33%of the team's league goals scored by Stefano Marino
- 17%of matches won since 2014-15
- 3–0Biggest win since 2014-15: Hamburger SV 0–3 Paderborn
- 0–6Heaviest defeat: Paderborn 0–6 Bayern Munich
Vesta and Paderborn
38 league matches since 2019-20- 47%of Paderborn's matches won by Vesta's favourite
- 0wins in 7 matches as Vesta's favourite
- 21%won with 21%: Werder Bremen 0–1 Paderborn
- 26%won with 26%: Freiburg 0–2 Paderborn
- 29%won with 29%: Paderborn 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt
- 53%lost at 53%: Paderborn 1–3 Freiburg
- 42%lost at 42%: Paderborn 1–2 Hertha Berlin
- 42%lost at 42%: Paderborn 1–2 Mainz 05
Vesta's forecasts reconstructed with each season hidden (how).
By the minute
2026-27, 4 matches| Goals | 1-15 | 16-30 | 31-45+ | 46-60 | 61-75 | 76-90+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
- 0points won in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 0points thrown away in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 0points won after going behind
- 0points dropped after going ahead
Goal minutes. Quarters of an hour by the minute of the match reports; stoppage time counts in the last quarter of each half.
League position
2026-27Strength
Rating 1,465Vesta's rating before every match since 2014-15. 1,500 is an average team of these leagues.
Squad
Players used in 2026-27| Player | Apps | Min | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel Nicolas NollGoalkeeper | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 |
| Tjark SchellerCentre-back | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 |
| Santiago CastañedaMidfielder | 4 | 360 | 1 | 0 |
| Jano ter HorstCentre-back | 4 | 353 | 0 | 0 |
| Laurin CurdaRight wing-back | 4 | 340 | 0 | 1 |
| Raphael ObermairLeft wing-back | 4 | 333 | 0 | 0 |
| Mattes HansenCentre-back | 4 | 326 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabriel VidovicMidfielder | 4 | 323 | 0 | 0 |
| Laurin UlrichMidfielder | 4 | 321 | 0 | 0 |
| Marvin PieringerForward | 4 | 309 | 0 | 0 |
| Stefano MarinoForward | 4 | 218 | 1 | 0 |
| Steffen TiggesForward | 4 | 129 | 1 | 0 |
| Rayan PhilippeForward | 3 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| Jonah Sticker– | 3 | 48 | 0 | 1 |
| Oliver Batista Meier– | 2 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Baack– | 2 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| Clemens Lippmann– | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| Felix Götze– | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| Luka Djuric– | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| Niklas Mohr– | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |