Position9of 20
Points8in 5
Won, drawn, lost2-2-1
Goals9for, 9 against
FormDWDLW
Next matches
All 33Mon 12 Oct
Sat 17 Oct
TBC
Sun 25 Oct
TBC
Mon 2 Nov
TBC
Sat 7 Nov
TBC
Results
2026-27, 33 still to playSat 19 Sep
FT
Mon 14 Sep
FT
Sat 5 Sep
FT
Sat 29 Aug
FT
Sun 23 Aug
FT
Season projection
Model estimateMost likely finish11th9% of simulations
Final points498 in 10 between 40 and 59
Title<1%
Top 44%
Bottom 38%
Final record13-11-14Won, drawn, lost
Goals scored558 in 10 between 46 and 63
Goals conceded618 in 10 between 52 and 70
Goal difference-6
A week of matches ago: title <1%, top 4 7%, bottom 3 6%, 50 final points.
Chance of each final position, in %
1
2
13
34
45
56
67
78
89
910
911
812
813
714
715
616
517
418
319
220
Every remaining Premier League match simulated with Vesta’s strengths of today. The whole projected table
In numbers
- 43rdof 96 teams of the five leagues by Vesta’s strength rating
- 22%of the team's league goals scored by Joe Willock
- 36%of matches won since 2001-02
- 8–0Biggest win since 2001-02: Sheffield United 0–8 Newcastle United
- 0–6Heaviest defeat: Manchester United 6–0 Newcastle United
In Europe
18 matches in the European cups since 2023-24Won, drawn, lost7-5-6
Goals35– 25
Vesta and Newcastle United
347 league matches since 2017-18- 51%of Newcastle United's matches won by Vesta's favourite
- 83wins in 163 matches as Vesta's favourite
- 7%won with 7%: Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester City
- 14%won with 14%: Leicester 2–4 Newcastle United
- 14%won with 14%: Newcastle United 1–0 Chelsea
- 77%lost at 77%: Newcastle United 1–3 Nottingham Forest
- 73%lost at 73%: Bournemouth 2–0 Newcastle United
- 69%lost at 69%: Luton 1–0 Newcastle United
Vesta's forecasts reconstructed with each season hidden (how).
By the minute
2026-27, 5 matches| Goals | 1-15 | 16-30 | 31-45+ | 46-60 | 61-75 | 76-90+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Against | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
- 1point won in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 2points thrown away in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 1point won after going behind
- 2points dropped after going ahead
Goal minutes. Quarters of an hour by the minute of the match reports; stoppage time counts in the last quarter of each half.
League position
2026-27Strength
Rating 1,520Vesta's rating before every match since 2014-15. 1,500 is an average team of these leagues.
Squad
Players used in 2026-27| Player | Apps | Min | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sven BotmanCentre-back | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 |
| Harvey BarnesForward | 5 | 450 | 1 | 2 |
| Lewis HallLeft-back | 5 | 450 | 1 | 1 |
| Malick ThiawCentre-back | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 |
| Lukás HornícekGoalkeeper | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 |
| Yoane WissaForward | 5 | 443 | 1 | 1 |
| Lewis MileyMidfielder | 5 | 405 | 0 | 0 |
| Amar DedicRight-back | 4 | 330 | 0 | 1 |
| Joe WillockMidfielder | 5 | 292 | 2 | 0 |
| Anthony ElangaRight winger | 3 | 241 | 2 | 0 |
| Sean SteurDefensive midfielder | 5 | 228 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob MurphyForward | 5 | 178 | 0 | 0 |
| Nico GonzálezDefensive midfielder | 3 | 170 | 0 | 0 |
| Matias Fernandez-PardoForward | 3 | 162 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob RamseyLeft winger | 3 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| William OsulaForward | 1 | 57 | 0 | 1 |
| Bazoumana TouréLeft midfielder | 3 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| Valentino LivramentoRight-back | 2 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| Aladji BambaMidfielder | 3 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| Fabian SchärCentre-back | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick WoltemadeForward | 1 | 18 | 0 | 1 |

