Freiburg v Schalke 04

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Freiburg

• Igor MatanovicForward, started 5 of the last 543%to score
• Yuito SuzukiAttacking midfielder, started 4 of the last 521%to score
• Derry ScherhantLeft winger, started 5 of the last 521%to score
• Maximilian EggesteinDefensive midfielder, started 5 of the last 513%to score

Most likely to assist: Jan-Niklas Beste 17%, Derry Scherhant 16%

Schalke 04

• Moussa SyllaForward, started 2 of the last 514%to score
• Adil AouchicheAttacking midfielder, started 4 of the last 512%to score
• Eric Junior Dina EbimbeRight-back, started 2 of the last 510%to score
• Junior AdamuAttacking midfielder, started 2 of the last 57%to score

Most likely to assist: Adil Aouchiche 11%, Soufiane El-Faouzi 7%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Freiburg

Freiburg: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Igor Matanovic	84	43%	11%	15%	52%	3.2
Yuito Suzuki	66	21%	2%	10%	29%	1.6
Derry Scherhant	79	21%	2%	16%	33%	2.4
Maximilian Eggestein	90	13%	<1%	6%	18%	1.6
Jan-Niklas Beste	68	12%	<1%	17%	27%	1.1
Yannick Engelhardt	71	10%	<1%	6%	15%	0.9
Matthias Ginter	87	8%	<1%	12%	19%	0.8
Philipp Lienhart	86	6%	<1%	3%	9%	0.6
Vincenzo Grifo bench	16	5%	<1%	5%	10%	0.3
Philipp Treu	75	5%	<1%	7%	11%	0.6
Lukas Kübler bench	27	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.3
Johan Manzambi bench	15	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.4
Lucas Höler bench	9	3%	<1%	1%	4%	0.2
Jordy Makengo	90	2%	<1%	12%	14%	0.3
Nicolas Höfler bench	13	2%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Cyriaque Irié bench	10	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Keisuke Goto bench	6	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Mio Backhaus	72	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Noah Atubolu bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Schalke 04

Schalke 04: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Moussa Sylla	41	14%	1%	4%	17%	0.9
Adil Aouchiche	67	12%	<1%	11%	22%	1.2
Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe	51	10%	<1%	4%	13%	0.7
Junior Adamu bench	29	7%	<1%	6%	12%	0.5
Soufiane El-Faouzi	72	7%	<1%	7%	13%	0.9
Sebastian Polter bench	18	6%	<1%	2%	8%	0.4
Satoshi Tanaka	52	5%	<1%	4%	9%	0.6
Robin Gosens	49	5%	<1%	2%	7%	0.4
Kenan Karaman	38	5%	<1%	6%	10%	0.5
Nikola Katic	69	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.3
Marius Bülter bench	18	4%	<1%	3%	8%	0.4
Edin Dzeko bench	17	4%	<1%	1%	6%	0.4
Dominick Drexler bench	18	2%	<1%	2%	5%	0.2
Danny Latza bench	16	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Timo Becker	67	2%	<1%	2%	5%	0.2
Hasan Kuruçay	64	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Maximilian Wöber bench	15	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Ron Schallenberg bench	15	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Dejan Ljubicic bench	37	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Alex Kral bench	18	2%	<1%	2%	3%	0.3
Rodrigo Zalazar bench	12	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Sepp van den Berg bench	18	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Hee-Chan Hwang bench	5	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Marcin Kaminski bench	18	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Cédric Brunner bench	18	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Vitalie Becker bench	21	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Henning Matriciani bench	15	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Mertcan Ayhan bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Tobias Mohr bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Loris Karius	72	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Ralf Fährmann bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0