Mexico v Chile

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Mexico

• Roberto AlvaradoRight winger, started 4 of the last 528%to score
• Raúl JiménezForward, started 3 of the last 523%to score
• Julián QuiñonesLeft winger, started 3 of the last 521%to score
• Orbelín PinedaLeft winger, started 1 of the last 512%to score

Most likely to assist: Érik Lira 14%, Roberto Alvarado 13%

Chile

• Gonzalo TapiaForward, started 3 of the last 510%to score
• Darío OsorioAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 55%to score
• Ben Brereton DíazForward, started 2 of the last 55%to score
• Vicente PizarroRight midfielder, started 4 of the last 54%to score

Most likely to assist: Darío Osorio 4%, Vicente Pizarro 3%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast. The models learned on club matches, applied to the two national teams' last internationals.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Mexico

Mexico: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Roberto Alvarado	67	28%	4%	13%	37%	2.0
Raúl Jiménez	49	23%	3%	7%	28%	1.7
Julián Quiñones	49	21%	2%	10%	29%	1.5
Orbelín Pineda bench	27	12%	<1%	5%	17%	0.8
Érik Lira	72	12%	<1%	14%	24%	1.2
Isaías Violante bench	19	9%	<1%	4%	12%	0.6
Luis Romo	47	8%	<1%	9%	17%	0.8
Germán Berterame bench	15	7%	<1%	3%	10%	0.5
Armando González bench	15	7%	<1%	3%	10%	0.4
Gilberto Mora	37	6%	<1%	7%	13%	0.6
Santiago Giménez bench	17	6%	<1%	2%	8%	0.5
Hirving Lozano bench	13	6%	<1%	3%	8%	0.4
Obed Vargas	30	5%	<1%	6%	11%	0.5
Johan Vásquez	72	5%	<1%	7%	12%	0.5
Brian Gutiérrez bench	26	5%	<1%	5%	10%	0.5
Jesús Gallardo	67	4%	<1%	7%	11%	0.5
Jorge Sánchez	67	4%	<1%	7%	11%	0.5
Álvaro Fidalgo bench	23	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Luis Chávez bench	13	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Denzell García bench	13	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Edson Álvarez bench	27	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
César Montes bench	27	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Mateo Chávez bench	23	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Israel Reyes bench	22	1%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Ángel Márquez bench	21	1%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Everardo López bench	18	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.1
Diego Campillo bench	6	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Víctor Guzmán bench	12	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Raúl Rangel	72	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Oscar García bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Chile

Chile: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Gonzalo Tapia	54	10%	<1%	3%	12%	0.6
Darío Osorio	80	5%	<1%	4%	10%	0.5
Ben Brereton Díaz bench	29	5%	<1%	2%	7%	0.3
Vicente Pizarro	59	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.4
Felipe Faúndez	56	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.4
Felipe Loyola	54	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.4
Maximiliano Gutiérrez	51	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Lucas Cepeda	47	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Agustin Arce bench	13	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.2
Víctor Méndez bench	32	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Nils Reichmuth bench	29	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Gabriel Suazo	70	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Rodrigo Echeverría bench	21	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Iván Román	54	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Guillermo Maripán	47	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
César Pérez bench	12	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Jonathan Villagra bench	30	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Francisco Sierralta bench	27	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Francisco Salinas bench	9	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Diego Ulloa bench	24	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Benjamín Kuscevic bench	9	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Javier Altamirano bench	9	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Fabian Hormazabal bench	9	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Marcelino Núñez bench	10	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Ian Gargues bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1
Leandro Hernández bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Paulo Díaz bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Igor Lichnovsky bench	16	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Lawrence Vigouroux	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0