Argentina v Benin

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Argentina

• Lionel MessiForward, started 5 of the last 563%to score
• Julián ÁlvarezForward, started 4 of the last 558%to score
• Enzo FernándezDefensive midfielder, started 5 of the last 551%to score
• Lautaro MartínezForward, started 1 of the last 532%to score

Most likely to assist: Enzo Fernández 39%, Julián Álvarez 39%

Benin

• Steve MouniéForward, started 2 of the last 53%to score
• Hassane ImouraneLeft midfielder, started 5 of the last 53%to score
• Junior OlaitanAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 53%to score
• Tosin AiyegunAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 52%to score

Most likely to assist: Hassane Imourane 2%, Junior Olaitan 2%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast. The models learned on club matches, applied to the two national teams' last internationals.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Argentina

Argentina: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Lionel Messi	90	63%	26%	28%	73%	6.2
Julián Álvarez	77	58%	21%	39%	74%	5.5
Enzo Fernández	90	51%	16%	39%	70%	4.7
Lautaro Martínez bench	20	32%	6%	12%	40%	2.1
Alexis Mac Allister	90	24%	3%	23%	42%	4.0
Rodrigo de Paul	65	23%	3%	21%	40%	2.6
Cristian Romero	86	21%	2%	15%	32%	1.9
Nicolás González bench	27	18%	2%	6%	23%	1.8
Nicolás Tagliafico	64	13%	<1%	21%	31%	1.5
Nahuel Molina	70	10%	<1%	30%	37%	1.7
Giuliano Simeone bench	18	10%	<1%	10%	19%	0.8
Leandro Paredes	59	9%	<1%	10%	18%	1.0
Thiago Almada bench	13	5%	<1%	5%	10%	0.5
Lisandro Martínez	77	5%	<1%	7%	11%	1.3
Facundo Medina bench	21	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.2
Gonzalo Montiel bench	20	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.3
Nicolás Otamendi bench	13	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Emiliano Martinez	90	<1%	<1%	4%	4%	0.0

Benin

Benin: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Steve Mounié bench	36	3%	<1%	<1%	4%	0.2
Hassane Imourane	90	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Junior Olaitan	87	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Tosin Aiyegun	75	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Rodolfo Aloko	62	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Sessi D'Almeida	62	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Dodo Dokou	44	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Mohamed Tijani	90	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Yohan Roche	90	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Tamimou Ouorou	89	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Yamirou Ouorou bench	32	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Samadou Attidjikou bench	30	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Olivier Verdon	54	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Charlemagne Azongnitode bench	36	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Jodel Dossou bench	12	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Olatoundji Tessilimi bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Marcel Dandjinou	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0