Greece v Germany

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Greece

• Christos TzolisForward, started 5 of the last 516%to score
• Vangelis PavlidisForward, started 4 of the last 513%to score
• Andrews TettehForward, started 2 of the last 58%to score
• Georgios MasourasForward, started 1 of the last 57%to score

Most likely to assist: Kostas Tsimikas 7%, Christos Tzolis 7%

Germany

• Kai HavertzForward, started 3 of the last 510%to score
• Florian WirtzAttacking midfielder, started 3 of the last 59%to score
• Karim AdeyemiAttacking midfielder, started 2 of the last 59%to score
• Younes EbnoutalibForward, started 1 of the last 57%to score

Most likely to assist: Joshua Kimmich 11%, Florian Wirtz 5%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast. The models learned on club matches, applied to the two national teams' last internationals.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Greece

Greece: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Christos Tzolis	71	16%	1%	7%	22%	1.1
Vangelis Pavlidis	60	13%	<1%	6%	18%	0.9
Andrews Tetteh bench	34	8%	<1%	3%	11%	0.5
Georgios Masouras bench	31	7%	<1%	3%	10%	0.5
Anastasios Douvikas bench	28	6%	<1%	3%	9%	0.4
Kostas Tsimikas	72	6%	<1%	7%	13%	0.6
Fotis Ioannidis bench	26	6%	<1%	3%	8%	0.4
Dimitrios Kourbelis	55	5%	<1%	5%	10%	0.5
Christos Zafeiris	53	5%	<1%	5%	10%	0.5
Konstantinos Karetsas	49	4%	<1%	5%	9%	0.4
Charalambos Kostoulas bench	18	4%	<1%	2%	6%	0.3
Georgios Vagiannidis	48	4%	<1%	5%	9%	0.4
Konstantinos Mavropanos	72	4%	<1%	1%	5%	0.3
Thanasis Androutsos	40	4%	<1%	4%	7%	0.3
Panagiotis Retsos	84	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.3
Lazaros Rota bench	22	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Konstantinos Koulierakis bench	25	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Nectarios Triantis bench	18	2%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Georgios Kyriakopoulos bench	18	2%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Christos Mouzakitis bench	17	2%	<1%	2%	3%	0.1
Manolis Saliakas bench	27	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Pantelis Hatzidiakos bench	24	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Alexandros Kyziridis bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.0
Konstantinos Tzolakis	70	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Odisseas Vlachodimos bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Germany

Germany: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Kai Havertz	36	10%	<1%	4%	13%	0.6
Florian Wirtz	56	9%	<1%	5%	14%	0.7
Karim Adeyemi bench	31	9%	<1%	5%	13%	0.5
Younes Ebnoutalib bench	30	7%	<1%	2%	10%	0.5
Deniz Undav bench	19	7%	<1%	2%	9%	0.5
Jamal Musiala bench	23	7%	<1%	4%	11%	0.5
Felix Nmecha	51	5%	<1%	4%	9%	0.5
Aleksandar Pavlovic	42	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.3
Nadiem Amiri bench	16	4%	<1%	2%	6%	0.2
Nick Woltemade bench	16	4%	<1%	2%	5%	0.2
Jonathan Burkardt bench	8	3%	<1%	<1%	4%	0.1
Leroy Sané	36	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Serge Gnabry bench	14	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Joshua Kimmich	66	3%	<1%	11%	14%	0.4
Said El Mala bench	9	3%	<1%	<1%	4%	0.2
Jonathan Tah	72	3%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Kevin Schade bench	26	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Maximilian Mittelstädt bench	18	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.1
Malick Thiaw bench	24	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Nathaniel Brown	53	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Antonio Rüdiger	36	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.2
Nico Schlotterbeck bench	18	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Bambasé Conté bench	16	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Tom Bischof bench	15	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Derry Scherhant bench	15	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Philipp Treu	36	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Leon Goretzka bench	9	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Maximilian Beier bench	5	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
David Raum bench	18	1%	<1%	3%	4%	0.1
Chris Führich bench	5	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Waldemar Anton bench	20	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Josha Vagnoman bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Yann Bisseck bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Anton Stach bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Angelo Stiller bench	9	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.0
Jonas Urbig bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Marc-André ter Stegen bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Manuel Neuer	36	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Alexander Nübel bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0