- National teams
- UEFA Nations League
Kosovo v Austria
30%Kosovo
30%Draw
40%Austria
Austria, just.
TestedAustria win about 40 times in 100. The other 60: a draw (30) or a Kosovo win (30).
Forecast by Vesta, published Saturday 3 October 2026, 18:44 CEST, before kickoff.
3 or more goals41%
Both teams score48%
Expected goals1.1 v 1.3
Most likely score1-114% chance
Goals in the match
Tested1 or more goals90%
2 or more goals68%
3 or more goals41%
4 or more goals21%
5 or more goals9%
Exactly
0 goals10%
1 goal21%
2 goals27%
3 goals20%
4 goals12%
5 goals6%
6 or more goals3%
Goals by team
TestedKosovo: 1 or more66%
Kosovo: 2 or more29%
Kosovo: 3 or more9%
Austria: 1 or more72%
Austria: 2 or more36%
Austria: 3 or more13%
Both teams score48%
At least one team does not score52%
Winning margin
TestedKosovo by 3 or more4%
Kosovo by 28%
Kosovo by 119%
Draw30%
Austria by 122%
Austria by 212%
Austria by 3 or more6%
Result combinations
TestedKosovo win or draw60%
Either team wins (no draw)70%
Austria win or draw69%
Clean sheets
TestedKosovo keep a clean sheet28%
Austria keep a clean sheet34%
Kosovo win without conceding18%
Austria win without conceding24%
No goals at all10%
The first goal
Model estimateKosovo score first41%
Austria score first48%
No goals10%
When it comes
Minutes 1-1528%
Minutes 16-3020%
Minutes 31-45+17%
Minutes 46-6011%
Minutes 61-758%
Minutes 76-90+6%
Every score
TestedChance of each score in percent: Kosovo goals down, Austria goals across.
| Home goals down, away goals across | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.4 | 11.6 | 7.6 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.8 | 14.0 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.5 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | · |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | · | · | · |
Halves
Model estimateA goal in the first half65%
A goal in the second half72%
Kosovo ahead at half-time25%
Level at half-time46%
Austria ahead at half-time30%
Kosovo win the second half26%
Second half level41%
Austria win the second half33%
More goals in the first half30%
More goals in the second half41%
Same goals in both halves29%
Half-time and full-time
Model estimateKosovo ahead at half-time, Kosovo win17%
Level at half-time, Kosovo win12%
Austria ahead at half-time, Kosovo win2%
Kosovo ahead at half-time, draw6%
Level at half-time, draw20%
Austria ahead at half-time, draw5%
Kosovo ahead at half-time, Austria win2%
Level at half-time, Austria win14%
Austria ahead at half-time, Austria win23%
When the goals come
Model estimateExpected goals in each 15 minutes.
1-15'
16-30'
31-45+'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
KosovoAustria
Tested: checked on past matches at this level of detail. Tested in aggregate: checked on a coarser measure. Model estimate: not checked on real data yet. How Vesta works