- National teams
- Friendly
Ivory Coast v Cameroon
62%Ivory Coast
24%Draw
14%Cameroon
Ivory Coast ahead.
TestedIvory Coast win about 62 times in 100. The other 38: a draw (24) or a Cameroon win (14).
Forecast by Vesta, published Saturday 3 October 2026, 12:52 CEST, before kickoff.
3 or more goals47%
Both teams score45%
Expected goals1.8 v 0.7
Most likely score1-013% chance
Goals in the match
Tested1 or more goals92%
2 or more goals73%
3 or more goals47%
4 or more goals26%
5 or more goals12%
Exactly
0 goals8%
1 goal19%
2 goals26%
3 goals21%
4 goals14%
5 goals7%
6 or more goals5%
Goals by team
TestedIvory Coast: 1 or more84%
Ivory Coast: 2 or more54%
Ivory Coast: 3 or more27%
Cameroon: 1 or more53%
Cameroon: 2 or more17%
Cameroon: 3 or more4%
Both teams score45%
At least one team does not score55%
Winning margin
TestedIvory Coast by 3 or more18%
Ivory Coast by 219%
Ivory Coast by 125%
Draw24%
Cameroon by 110%
Cameroon by 23%
Cameroon by 3 or more1%
Result combinations
TestedIvory Coast win or draw86%
Either team wins (no draw)76%
Cameroon win or draw38%
Clean sheets
TestedIvory Coast keep a clean sheet47%
Cameroon keep a clean sheet16%
Ivory Coast win without conceding39%
Cameroon win without conceding8%
No goals at all8%
The first goal
Model estimateIvory Coast score first65%
Cameroon score first27%
No goals8%
When it comes
Minutes 1-1530%
Minutes 16-3022%
Minutes 31-45+16%
Minutes 46-6011%
Minutes 61-757%
Minutes 76-90+6%
Every score
TestedChance of each score in percent: Ivory Coast goals down, Cameroon goals across.
| Home goals down, away goals across | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | · |
| 1 | 13.5 | 11.2 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | · |
| 2 | 12.6 | 9.4 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | · |
| 3 | 7.7 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | · |
| 4 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | · | · |
| 5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | · | · |
Halves
Model estimateA goal in the first half68%
A goal in the second half75%
Ivory Coast ahead at half-time45%
Level at half-time41%
Cameroon ahead at half-time14%
Ivory Coast win the second half50%
Second half level36%
Cameroon win the second half15%
More goals in the first half30%
More goals in the second half42%
Same goals in both halves27%
Half-time and full-time
Model estimateIvory Coast ahead at half-time, Ivory Coast win40%
Level at half-time, Ivory Coast win20%
Cameroon ahead at half-time, Ivory Coast win2%
Ivory Coast ahead at half-time, draw4%
Level at half-time, draw16%
Cameroon ahead at half-time, draw4%
Ivory Coast ahead at half-time, Cameroon win1%
Level at half-time, Cameroon win5%
Cameroon ahead at half-time, Cameroon win8%
When the goals come
Model estimateExpected goals in each 15 minutes.
1-15'
16-30'
31-45+'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Ivory CoastCameroon
Tested: checked on past matches at this level of detail. Tested in aggregate: checked on a coarser measure. Model estimate: not checked on real data yet. How Vesta works