- National teams
- CONCACAF Nations League
Sint Maarten v Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
27%Sint Maarten
29%Draw
44%Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, just.
TestedSaint Vincent and the Grenadines win about 44 times in 100. The other 56: a draw (29) or a Sint Maarten win (27).
Forecast by Vesta, published Saturday 3 October 2026, 12:52 CEST, before kickoff.
3 or more goals41%
Both teams score48%
Expected goals1.0 v 1.3
Most likely score1-114% chance
Goals in the match
Tested1 or more goals90%
2 or more goals68%
3 or more goals41%
4 or more goals21%
5 or more goals9%
Exactly
0 goals10%
1 goal21%
2 goals27%
3 goals20%
4 goals12%
5 goals6%
6 or more goals3%
Goals by team
TestedSint Maarten: 1 or more64%
Sint Maarten: 2 or more27%
Sint Maarten: 3 or more8%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: 1 or more74%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: 2 or more39%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines: 3 or more15%
Both teams score48%
At least one team does not score52%
Winning margin
TestedSint Maarten by 3 or more3%
Sint Maarten by 27%
Sint Maarten by 117%
Draw29%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines by 123%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines by 213%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines by 3 or more8%
Result combinations
TestedSint Maarten win or draw57%
Either team wins (no draw)71%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines win or draw73%
Clean sheets
TestedSint Maarten keep a clean sheet26%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines keep a clean sheet36%
Sint Maarten win without conceding16%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines win without conceding26%
No goals at all10%
The first goal
Model estimateSint Maarten score first38%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines score first51%
No goals10%
When it comes
Minutes 1-1529%
Minutes 16-3020%
Minutes 31-45+16%
Minutes 46-6011%
Minutes 61-757%
Minutes 76-90+6%
Every score
TestedChance of each score in percent: Sint Maarten goals down, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines goals across.
| Home goals down, away goals across | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.3 | 12.2 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 13.8 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 6.4 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | · |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | · | · | · |
Halves
Model estimateA goal in the first half65%
A goal in the second half72%
Sint Maarten ahead at half-time22%
Level at half-time46%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines ahead at half-time32%
Sint Maarten win the second half24%
Second half level40%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines win the second half35%
More goals in the first half30%
More goals in the second half41%
Same goals in both halves29%
Half-time and full-time
Model estimateSint Maarten ahead at half-time, Sint Maarten win15%
Level at half-time, Sint Maarten win11%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines ahead at half-time, Sint Maarten win1%
Sint Maarten ahead at half-time, draw5%
Level at half-time, draw19%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines ahead at half-time, draw5%
Sint Maarten ahead at half-time, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines win2%
Level at half-time, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines win16%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines ahead at half-time, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines win26%
When the goals come
Model estimateExpected goals in each 15 minutes.
1-15'
16-30'
31-45+'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Sint MaartenSaint Vincent and the Grenadines
Tested: checked on past matches at this level of detail. Tested in aggregate: checked on a coarser measure. Model estimate: not checked on real data yet. How Vesta works