Lab

Which matches change the races most?

Osasuna v Racing Santander (Sun 18 Oct) moves a race more than any other coming match: Racing Santander's bottom three chance is 43 in 100 if Osasuna win, 37 after a draw and 24 if Racing Santander win.

League data to · Vesta · each result against 10,000 runs of the season

FreePro adds every coming match, not only the top five

21 coming matches, the biggest swing firstBiggest swings 21 matches

each side's chance if the home side wins · draws · the away side wins
CSV
OsasunavRacing SantanderSun 18 Oct, 14:00 CESTSun 14:00
Vesta 48 · 26 · 26
Side and raceOSA winDrawRAC winNow
Racing Santanderbottom three43372436
Osasunabottom three20273526
GetafevRayo VallecanoMon 19 Oct, 21:00 CESTMon 21:00
Vesta 32 · 33 · 35
Side and raceGET winDrawRAY winNow
Getafebottom three29394638
Rayo Vallecanobottom three10646
Rayo Vallecanotop four1121
MalagavReal SociedadSun 18 Oct, 18:30 CESTSun 18:30
Vesta 35 · 29 · 37
Side and raceMLG winDrawRSO winNow
Malagabottom three57677466
Real Sociedadbottom three6524
Real Sociedadtop four1232
Racing SantandervEspanyolSat 24 Oct, 16:15 CESTSat 16:15
Vesta 37 · 27 · 35
Side and raceRAC winDrawESP winNow
Racing Santanderbottom three28374536
Espanyolbottom three21161016
ValenciavVillarrealSat 24 Oct, 18:30 CESTSat 18:30
Vesta 24 · 26 · 49
Side and raceVAL winDrawVIL winNow
Valenciabottom three23333934
Villarrealtop four23263630
Athletic ClubvGetafeSun 25 Oct, 14:00 CETSun 14:00
Vesta 59 · 28 · 13
Side and raceATH winDrawGET winNow
Getafebottom three42362738
Athletic Clubtop four21141218
AlavesvMalagaFri 23 Oct, 21:00 CESTFri 21:00
Vesta 54 · 28 · 19
Side and raceALA winDrawMLG winNow
Malagabottom three70655566
Alavesbottom three2574
Alavestop four2112
ValenciavAthletic ClubSat 17 Oct, 21:00 CESTSat 21:00
Vesta 27 · 30 · 43
Side and raceVAL winDrawATH winNow
Valenciabottom three24353934
Athletic Clubtop four13172218
Rayo VallecanovElcheSat 24 Oct, 14:00 CESTSat 14:00
Vesta 48 · 28 · 25
Side and raceRAY winDrawELC winNow
Elchebottom three35282029
Rayo Vallecanobottom three47106
Rayo Vallecanotop four21<11
SevillavOsasunaMon 26 Oct, 21:00 CETMon 21:00
Vesta 51 · 28 · 22
Side and raceSEV winDrawOSA winNow
Osasunabottom three30251626
Sevillatop four8646
Real BetisvBarcelonaSat 17 Oct, 18:00 CESTSat 18:00
Vesta 18 · 22 · 60
Side and raceRBB winDrawBAR winNow
Real Betistop four59504549
Barcelonatitle89929593
Celta VigovReal BetisSun 25 Oct, 16:15 CETSun 16:15
Vesta 33 · 30 · 37
Side and raceCEL winDrawRBB winNow
Real Betistop four42465649
Celta Vigobottom three8141713
VillarrealvElcheSat 17 Oct, 16:15 CESTSat 16:15
Vesta 68 · 20 · 12
Side and raceVIL winDrawELC winNow
Elchebottom three32261829
Villarrealtop four33252330
VillarrealvEspanyolFri 30 Oct, 21:00 CETFri 21:00
Vesta 63 · 23 · 14
Side and raceVIL winDrawESP winNow
Villarrealtop four34252130
Espanyolbottom three1813916
Real SociedadvLevanteSun 25 Oct, 18:30 CETSun 18:30
Vesta 47 · 26 · 27
Side and raceRSO winDrawLEV winNow
Levantebottom three26231422
Real Sociedadbottom three2574
Real Sociedadtop four2212
LevantevAthletic ClubWed 21 Oct, 20:00 CESTWed 20:00
Vesta 27 · 29 · 44
Side and raceLEV winDrawATH winNow
Levantebottom three16222622
Athletic Clubtop four14162218
BarcelonavReal MadridSun 25 Oct, 21:00 CETSun 21:00
Vesta 59 · 21 · 20
Side and raceBAR winDrawRMA winNow
Barcelonatitle95928693
Real Madridtitle36116
Real Madridtop four98989998
EspanyolvAtletico MadridSat 17 Oct, 14:00 CESTSat 14:00
Vesta 22 · 28 · 50
Side and raceESP winDrawATM winNow
Espanyolbottom three10151816
Atletico Madridtop four88919492
Atletico Madridtitle1122
Celta VigovAlavesSun 18 Oct, 16:15 CESTSun 16:15
Vesta 41 · 30 · 29
Side and raceCEL winDrawALA winNow
Celta Vigobottom three9151813
Alavesbottom three6424
Alavestop four1232
Atletico MadridvDeportivo La CorunaSat 24 Oct, 21:00 CESTSat 21:00
Vesta 59 · 25 · 16
Side and raceATM winDrawDEP winNow
Atletico Madridtop four93918792
Deportivo La Corunabottom three5324
Deportivo La Corunatop four1232
Atletico Madridtitle2112
Showing 20 of 21Show 20 more

For each coming league match Vesta's 10,000 runs of the season are split by the result of that match: the share of runs where a side finishes first, in the top four or in the bottom three, among the runs with a home win, a draw or an away win. "Now" weighs the three by how often each result comes up. Green = the side's best result, red = its worst. Chances in 100.

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