Como v Roma

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Como

• Tasos DouvikasForward, started 4 of the last 524%to score
• Nico PazRight winger, started 5 of the last 516%to score
• Assane DiaoRight winger, started 4 of the last 510%to score
• Moise KeanForward, started 1 of the last 59%to score

Most likely to assist: Nico Paz 11%, Yan Couto 10%

Roma

• Donyell MalenForward, started 5 of the last 537%to score
• Paulo DybalaAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 517%to score
• Matìas Soulè MalvanoAttacking midfielder, started 3 of the last 510%to score
• Rodrigo MoraAttacking midfielder, started 2 of the last 56%to score

Most likely to assist: Paulo Dybala 24%, Matìas Soulè Malvano 7%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Como

Como: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Tasos Douvikas	65	24%	3%	4%	27%	1.3
Nico Paz	85	16%	1%	11%	26%	2.3
Assane Diao	68	10%	<1%	7%	17%	1.1
Moise Kean bench	25	9%	<1%	<1%	10%	0.7
Jacobo Ramón	90	9%	<1%	2%	11%	0.7
Lucas Da Cunha	65	9%	<1%	7%	15%	0.7
Martin Baturina	57	8%	<1%	10%	17%	0.7
Yan Couto	84	5%	<1%	10%	15%	0.5
Jesús Rodriguez bench	29	4%	<1%	6%	10%	0.5
Máximo Perrone bench	52	4%	<1%	4%	7%	0.3
Trevoh Chalobah	72	3%	<1%	1%	4%	0.3
Kaiki bench	21	3%	<1%	1%	4%	0.2
Álex Valle	70	2%	<1%	4%	7%	0.3
Luis Milla	55	2%	<1%	7%	9%	0.3
Marc-Oliver Kempf bench	22	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.1
Maxence Caqueret bench	17	1%	<1%	2%	4%	0.1
Samuele Ricci bench	11	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.1
Ivan Smolcic bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Jean Butez	72	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Robert Sánchez bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Roma

Roma: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Donyell Malen	70	37%	8%	5%	40%	2.2
Paulo Dybala	83	17%	1%	24%	36%	1.8
Matìas Soulè Malvano	56	10%	<1%	7%	17%	1.0
Rodrigo Mora bench	34	6%	<1%	4%	11%	0.6
Mario Hermoso	85	6%	<1%	4%	10%	0.5
Kouadio Kone	66	6%	<1%	6%	11%	0.5
Gianluca Mancini	79	5%	<1%	6%	11%	0.4
Wesley	67	5%	<1%	7%	12%	0.4
Santiago Castro bench	20	5%	<1%	1%	6%	0.4
Bryan Cristante	85	5%	<1%	4%	9%	0.9
Niccolò Pisilli bench	29	4%	<1%	4%	8%	0.3
Evan Ndicka bench	37	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.2
Leonardo Balerdi bench	36	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.2
Emanuele Lulli	65	2%	<1%	5%	7%	0.3
Nahuel Molina	43	2%	<1%	6%	7%	0.3
Daniele Ghilardi bench	28	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Konstantinos Koulierakis bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Devyne Rensch bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Marten de Roon bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Mile Svilar	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0