Lazio v Monza

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Lazio

• Mattia ZaccagniForward, started 5 of the last 525%to score
• Davide FrattesiMidfielder, started 4 of the last 522%to score
• Matteo CancellieriForward, started 4 of the last 517%to score
• Tijjani NoslinForward, started 2 of the last 515%to score

Most likely to assist: Mattia Zaccagni 14%, Davide Frattesi 11%

Monza

• Gustavo VarelaForward, started 4 of the last 519%to score
• Ricardo MangasForward, started 5 of the last 514%to score
• Andrea ColpaniForward, started 3 of the last 511%to score
• Jay RobinsonAttacking midfielder, started 3 of the last 55%to score

Most likely to assist: Samuele Birindelli 9%, Ricardo Mangas 9%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Lazio

Lazio: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Mattia Zaccagni	89	25%	3%	14%	35%	1.9
Davide Frattesi	77	22%	3%	11%	31%	1.8
Matteo Cancellieri	60	17%	2%	9%	25%	1.5
Tijjani Noslin	35	15%	1%	7%	21%	1.1
Kenneth Taylor	85	12%	<1%	10%	20%	1.1
Gustav Isaksen bench	31	10%	<1%	3%	12%	0.9
Andrea Pinamonti bench	21	8%	<1%	2%	10%	0.6
Danilho Doekhi	54	8%	<1%	2%	10%	0.7
Boulaye Dia bench	33	7%	<1%	6%	13%	0.5
Reda Belahyane	65	5%	<1%	11%	15%	0.6
Nuno Tavares	68	4%	<1%	8%	12%	0.8
Oliver Provstgaard	90	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.4
Romano Floriani	82	2%	<1%	8%	10%	0.4
Nicolo Rovella bench	25	2%	<1%	5%	7%	0.2
Josip Sutalo bench	35	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Albert Gudmundsson bench	7	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Alfonso bench	22	1%	<1%	5%	6%	0.2
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru bench	12	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Christos Mandas	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Monza

Monza: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Gustavo Varela	68	19%	2%	6%	24%	1.0
Ricardo Mangas	75	14%	<1%	9%	21%	0.8
Andrea Colpani	51	11%	<1%	4%	14%	0.7
Jay Robinson	48	5%	<1%	3%	8%	0.5
Dany Mota bench	20	5%	<1%	2%	6%	0.3
Patrick Cutrone bench	38	5%	<1%	2%	6%	0.4
Michael Folorunsho	61	4%	<1%	2%	6%	0.5
Eddy Kouadio	89	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.2
Lorenzo Lucchesi	84	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Andrea Carboni	89	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.3
Manga Foe Ondoa bench	36	2%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Samuele Birindelli	89	2%	<1%	9%	11%	0.4
Mathis Mout bench	29	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro	54	2%	<1%	4%	6%	0.3
Omari Forson bench	19	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Adam Bakoune bench	30	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Leonardo Colombo bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Filippo Delli Carri bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Demba Thiam	54	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Semuel Pizzignacco bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Noel Törnqvist bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0