1. National teams
  2. Friendly
Sat 3 Oct 2026

Russia v Namibia

RussiaRating 1,853
6–0Full time
NamibiaRating 1,426
89%
Russia win
9%
Draw
2%
Namibia win

Russia, clearly.

Russia win about 89 times in 100. The other 11: a draw (9) or a Namibia win (2). Forecast by Vesta, published Saturday 3 October 2026, 12:51 CEST, before kickoff.

Tested

Match events

Minute by minute
  1. 34' Yellow card: Ngero Katua Namibia
  2. 37'1–0 Goal: Lechii SadulaevAssist: Artem Karpukas Russia
  3. 45' Substitution: Konstantin TyukavinOff: Aleksandr Sobolev Russia
  4. 45' Substitution: Anton MitryushkinOff: Stanislav Agkatsev Russia
  5. 45' Substitution: Maksim GlushenkovOff: Alexey Miranchuk Russia
  6. 45' Substitution: Kirill GlebovOff: Lechii Sadulaev Russia
  7. 45' Substitution: Danil KrugovoiOff: Arsen Adamov Russia
  8. Half-time 1–0
  9. 54'2–0 Goal: Danil PrutsevAssist: Kirill Glebov Russia
  10. 64' Substitution: Ilya VakhanlaOff: Maksim Osipenko Russia
  11. 64' Substitution: Ivan OblyakovOff: Artem Karpukas Russia
  12. 64' Substitution: Sergio DamasebOff: Moses Shidolo Namibia
  13. 64' Substitution: Bethuel MuzeuOff: Ben Namib Namibia
  14. 65'3–0 Goal: Konstantin TyukavinAssist: Ivan Oblyakov Russia
  15. 72' Substitution: Nestor Tangeni IyamboOff: Wendell Rudath Namibia
  16. 77' Substitution: Alexey BatrakovOff: Nail Umiarov Russia
  17. 77' Substitution: Turpal-Ali IbishevOff: Viktor Melekhin Russia
  18. 77' Substitution: Maksim PetrovOff: Danil Prutsev Russia
  19. 84'4–0 Goal: Maksim GlushenkovAssist: Maksim Petrov Russia
  20. 87'5–0 Penalty goal: Maksim Petrov pen Russia
  21. 90+2'6–0 Own goal: Kamaijanda Ndisiro own goal Russia
  22. 90+3' Substitution: Tyrese HikupembeOff: Peter Shalulile Namibia
  23. 90+5' Substitution: Paulus AmutenyaOff: Ivan Kamberipa Namibia
  24. 90+6' Substitution: Carl Tjipe KaruuombeOff: Aprocius Petrus Namibia

Match stats

Russia v Namibia
Possession65%35%
Passes completed88%73%
Shots244
Shots on target140
Corners70
Fouls88
Offsides22
Yellow cards01
Red cards00
Saves09

Line-ups

Confirmed
Russia4-2-3-14-3-3Namibia
  • 1245' Agkatsev
  • 22 Beveev
  • 564' Osipenko
  • 1477' Melekhin
  • 2145' Adamov
  • 877' Umiarov
  • 15A64' Karpukas
  • 2045' Sadulaev
  • 2577' Prutsev
  • 5945' Miranchuk
  • 745' Sobolev
  • 16 Ndisiro
  • 4 Hanamub
  • 6 Katua
  • 21 Eib
  • 2090+5' Kamberipa
  • 1564' Namib
  • 1890+6' Petrus
  • 864' Shidolo
  • 7 Hotto
  • 1390+3' Shalulile
  • 1772' Rudath
Russia bench
  • 11Alexey Batrakov77'
  • 16Anton Mitryushkin45'
  • 4Danil Krugovoi45'
  • 30Ilya Vakhanla64'
  • 27Ivan Oblyakov64'A
  • 19Kirill Glebov45'A
  • 10Konstantin Tyukavin45'
  • 67Maksim Glushenkov45'
  • 23Maksim Petrov77'A
  • 2Turpal-Ali Ibishev77'
  • 1Aleksandr Maksimenko
  • 3Igor Diveev
  • 31Matvey Kislyak
Namibia bench
  • 9Bethuel Muzeu64'
  • 3Carl Tjipe Karuuombe90+6'
  • 11Nestor Tangeni Iyambo72'
  • 19Paulus Amutenya90+5'
  • 2Sergio Damaseb64'
  • 14Tyrese Hikupembe90+3'
  • 5Charles Hambira
  • 23Jonas Mateus
  • 22Junior Petrus
  • 12Mashiku Hans Muyeka
  • 1Mervin Kasetura
  • 10Okeri Nguarambuka
Final score 6–0: Vesta gave this result 89%. The favourite came through.
Expected goals
3.1 v 0.4
Likeliest score
3-0 14%
Both teams score
34%
3 or more goals
69%
Every probability of the match

Goals in the match

Tested
1 or more goals97%
2 or more goals87%
3 or more goals69%
4 or more goals48%
5 or more goals29%

Exact number of goals

Tested
0 goals3%
1 goal10%
2 goals18%
3 goals21%
4 goals19%
5 goals14%
6 or more goals15%

Goals by team

Tested
Russia: 1 or more96%
Russia: 2 or more82%
Russia: 3 or more61%
Namibia: 1 or more35%
Namibia: 2 or more7%
Namibia: 3 or more1%
Both teams score34%
At least one team does not score66%

Every score

Tested

Chance of each score in percent: Russia goals down, Namibia goals across. The outlined one happened.

Chance of each exact score
Home goals down, away goals across012345
03.01.10.3···
18.64.10.80.1··
213.75.91.30.2··
314.46.21.30.2··
411.44.91.10.2··
57.23.10.70.1··

Winning margin

Tested
Russia by 3 or more51%
Russia by 221%
Russia by 116%
Draw9%
Namibia by 12%
Namibia by 20%
Namibia by 3 or more0%

Result combinations

Tested
Russia win or draw97%
Either team wins (no draw)91%
Namibia win or draw11%

Clean sheets

Tested
Russia keep a clean sheet65%
Namibia keep a clean sheet4%
Russia win without conceding62%
Namibia win without conceding1%
No goals at all3%

The first goal

Model estimate
Russia score first85%
Namibia score first12%
No goals3%

When it comes

Minutes 1-1540%
Minutes 16-3024%
Minutes 31-45+16%
Minutes 46-609%
Minutes 61-755%
Minutes 76-90+3%

Halves

Model estimate
A goal in the first half80%
A goal in the second half85%
Russia ahead at half-time68%
Level at half-time26%
Namibia ahead at half-time5%
Russia win the second half74%
Second half level21%
Namibia win the second half4%
More goals in the first half32%
More goals in the second half46%
Same goals in both halves22%

Half-time and full-time

Model estimate
Russia ahead at half-time, Russia win67%
Level at half-time, Russia win20%
Namibia ahead at half-time, Russia win2%
Russia ahead at half-time, draw1%
Level at half-time, draw6%
Namibia ahead at half-time, draw2%
Russia ahead at half-time, Namibia win0%
Level at half-time, Namibia win1%
Namibia ahead at half-time, Namibia win1%

When the goals come

Model estimate

Expected goals in each 15 minutes.

1-15'
16-30'
31-45+'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
RussiaNamibia

Tested: checked on past matches at this level of detail. Tested in aggregate: checked on a coarser measure. Model estimate: not checked on real data yet. How Vesta works