- National teams
- CONCACAF Nations League
Belize v French Guiana
33%Belize
30%Draw
37%French Guiana
Too close to call.
TestedOut of 100: Belize 33, draw 30, French Guiana 37. No result stands out.
Forecast by Vesta, published Saturday 3 October 2026, 12:53 CEST, before kickoff.
3 or more goals41%
Both teams score48%
Expected goals1.1 v 1.2
Most likely score1-114% chance
Goals in the match
Tested1 or more goals89%
2 or more goals68%
3 or more goals41%
4 or more goals21%
5 or more goals9%
Exactly
0 goals11%
1 goal21%
2 goals27%
3 goals20%
4 goals12%
5 goals5%
6 or more goals3%
Goals by team
TestedBelize: 1 or more67%
Belize: 2 or more31%
Belize: 3 or more10%
French Guiana: 1 or more70%
French Guiana: 2 or more34%
French Guiana: 3 or more12%
Both teams score48%
At least one team does not score52%
Winning margin
TestedBelize by 3 or more4%
Belize by 29%
Belize by 119%
Draw30%
French Guiana by 121%
French Guiana by 211%
French Guiana by 3 or more5%
Result combinations
TestedBelize win or draw63%
Either team wins (no draw)70%
French Guiana win or draw67%
Clean sheets
TestedBelize keep a clean sheet30%
French Guiana keep a clean sheet33%
Belize win without conceding19%
French Guiana win without conceding22%
No goals at all11%
The first goal
Model estimateBelize score first43%
French Guiana score first47%
No goals11%
When it comes
Minutes 1-1528%
Minutes 16-3020%
Minutes 31-45+16%
Minutes 46-6011%
Minutes 61-758%
Minutes 76-90+7%
Every score
TestedChance of each score in percent: Belize goals down, French Guiana goals across.
| Home goals down, away goals across | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.5 | 11.2 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.3 | 14.1 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.0 | 7.3 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | · |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | · |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | · | · | · |
Halves
Model estimateA goal in the first half65%
A goal in the second half72%
Belize ahead at half-time25%
Level at half-time46%
French Guiana ahead at half-time29%
Belize win the second half29%
Second half level40%
French Guiana win the second half31%
More goals in the first half30%
More goals in the second half41%
Same goals in both halves29%
Half-time and full-time
Model estimateBelize ahead at half-time, Belize win18%
Level at half-time, Belize win13%
French Guiana ahead at half-time, Belize win2%
Belize ahead at half-time, draw5%
Level at half-time, draw20%
French Guiana ahead at half-time, draw5%
Belize ahead at half-time, French Guiana win2%
Level at half-time, French Guiana win14%
French Guiana ahead at half-time, French Guiana win21%
When the goals come
Model estimateExpected goals in each 15 minutes.
1-15'
16-30'
31-45+'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
BelizeFrench Guiana
Tested: checked on past matches at this level of detail. Tested in aggregate: checked on a coarser measure. Model estimate: not checked on real data yet. How Vesta works