- National teams
- CONCACAF Nations League
Puerto Rico v Cayman Islands
85%Puerto Rico
11%Draw
4%Cayman Islands
Puerto Rico, clearly.
TestedPuerto Rico win about 85 times in 100. The other 15: a draw (11) or a Cayman Islands win (4).
Forecast by Vesta, published Saturday 3 October 2026, 12:54 CEST, before kickoff.
3 or more goals64%
Both teams score36%
Expected goals2.8 v 0.5
Most likely score2-015% chance
Goals in the match
Tested1 or more goals96%
2 or more goals84%
3 or more goals64%
4 or more goals42%
5 or more goals24%
Exactly
0 goals4%
1 goal12%
2 goals20%
3 goals22%
4 goals18%
5 goals12%
6 or more goals12%
Goals by team
TestedPuerto Rico: 1 or more94%
Puerto Rico: 2 or more77%
Puerto Rico: 3 or more53%
Cayman Islands: 1 or more38%
Cayman Islands: 2 or more8%
Cayman Islands: 3 or more1%
Both teams score36%
At least one team does not score64%
Winning margin
TestedPuerto Rico by 3 or more43%
Puerto Rico by 222%
Puerto Rico by 119%
Draw11%
Cayman Islands by 13%
Cayman Islands by 21%
Cayman Islands by 3 or more0%
Result combinations
TestedPuerto Rico win or draw96%
Either team wins (no draw)89%
Cayman Islands win or draw15%
Clean sheets
TestedPuerto Rico keep a clean sheet62%
Cayman Islands keep a clean sheet6%
Puerto Rico win without conceding58%
Cayman Islands win without conceding2%
No goals at all4%
The first goal
Model estimatePuerto Rico score first82%
Cayman Islands score first14%
No goals4%
When it comes
Minutes 1-1537%
Minutes 16-3024%
Minutes 31-45+16%
Minutes 46-6010%
Minutes 61-756%
Minutes 76-90+4%
Every score
TestedChance of each score in percent: Puerto Rico goals down, Cayman Islands goals across.
| Home goals down, away goals across | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | · | · |
| 1 | 10.1 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | · | · |
| 2 | 14.5 | 7.0 | 1.8 | 0.3 | · | · |
| 3 | 13.7 | 6.6 | 1.6 | 0.3 | · | · |
| 4 | 9.7 | 4.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | · | · |
| 5 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | · | · |
Halves
Model estimateA goal in the first half77%
A goal in the second half84%
Puerto Rico ahead at half-time64%
Level at half-time30%
Cayman Islands ahead at half-time6%
Puerto Rico win the second half70%
Second half level24%
Cayman Islands win the second half6%
More goals in the first half31%
More goals in the second half46%
Same goals in both halves23%
Half-time and full-time
Model estimatePuerto Rico ahead at half-time, Puerto Rico win62%
Level at half-time, Puerto Rico win21%
Cayman Islands ahead at half-time, Puerto Rico win2%
Puerto Rico ahead at half-time, draw2%
Level at half-time, draw7%
Cayman Islands ahead at half-time, draw2%
Puerto Rico ahead at half-time, Cayman Islands win0%
Level at half-time, Cayman Islands win2%
Cayman Islands ahead at half-time, Cayman Islands win2%
When the goals come
Model estimateExpected goals in each 15 minutes.
1-15'
16-30'
31-45+'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Puerto RicoCayman Islands
Tested: checked on past matches at this level of detail. Tested in aggregate: checked on a coarser measure. Model estimate: not checked on real data yet. How Vesta works