- National teams
- CONCACAF Nations League
Honduras v Jamaica
48%Honduras
28%Draw
24%Jamaica
Honduras, just.
TestedHonduras win about 48 times in 100. The other 52: a draw (28) or a Jamaica win (24).
Forecast by Vesta, published Saturday 3 October 2026, 12:57 CEST, before kickoff.
3 or more goals42%
Both teams score47%
Expected goals1.4 v 0.9
Most likely score1-113% chance
Goals in the match
Tested1 or more goals90%
2 or more goals69%
3 or more goals42%
4 or more goals22%
5 or more goals9%
Exactly
0 goals10%
1 goal21%
2 goals27%
3 goals21%
4 goals12%
5 goals6%
6 or more goals3%
Goals by team
TestedHonduras: 1 or more76%
Honduras: 2 or more42%
Honduras: 3 or more18%
Jamaica: 1 or more61%
Jamaica: 2 or more24%
Jamaica: 3 or more7%
Both teams score47%
At least one team does not score53%
Winning margin
TestedHonduras by 3 or more9%
Honduras by 215%
Honduras by 124%
Draw28%
Jamaica by 115%
Jamaica by 26%
Jamaica by 3 or more2%
Result combinations
TestedHonduras win or draw76%
Either team wins (no draw)72%
Jamaica win or draw52%
Clean sheets
TestedHonduras keep a clean sheet39%
Jamaica keep a clean sheet24%
Honduras win without conceding29%
Jamaica win without conceding14%
No goals at all10%
The first goal
Model estimateHonduras score first55%
Jamaica score first35%
No goals10%
When it comes
Minutes 1-1528%
Minutes 16-3021%
Minutes 31-45+16%
Minutes 46-6011%
Minutes 61-758%
Minutes 76-90+6%
Every score
TestedChance of each score in percent: Honduras goals down, Jamaica goals across.
| Home goals down, away goals across | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.0 | 8.1 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.8 | 13.4 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.5 | 8.9 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | · |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | · |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | · | · |
Halves
Model estimateA goal in the first half66%
A goal in the second half73%
Honduras ahead at half-time35%
Level at half-time44%
Jamaica ahead at half-time20%
Honduras win the second half39%
Second half level40%
Jamaica win the second half22%
More goals in the first half29%
More goals in the second half42%
Same goals in both halves29%
Half-time and full-time
Model estimateHonduras ahead at half-time, Honduras win29%
Level at half-time, Honduras win17%
Jamaica ahead at half-time, Honduras win2%
Honduras ahead at half-time, draw5%
Level at half-time, draw18%
Jamaica ahead at half-time, draw5%
Honduras ahead at half-time, Jamaica win1%
Level at half-time, Jamaica win9%
Jamaica ahead at half-time, Jamaica win13%
When the goals come
Model estimateExpected goals in each 15 minutes.
1-15'
16-30'
31-45+'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
HondurasJamaica
Tested: checked on past matches at this level of detail. Tested in aggregate: checked on a coarser measure. Model estimate: not checked on real data yet. How Vesta works