Which matches change the races most?

19 coming matches, the biggest swing firstBiggest swings 19 matches

each side's chance if the home side wins · draws · the away side wins

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Le HavrevAuxerreSun 18 Oct, 17:15 CESTSun 17:15

HAC 49%X 28%AUX 23%

Vesta 49 · 28 · 23

Side and race	HAC win	Draw	AUX win	Now
Auxerrebottom three	61	52	39	53
Le Havrebottom three	34	46	54	42

AuxerrevLe MansSun 25 Oct, 17:15 CETSun 17:15

AUX 38%X 28%LMN 34%

Vesta 38 · 28 · 34

Side and race	AUX win	Draw	LMN win	Now
Le Mansbottom three	49	43	31	41
Auxerrebottom three	45	53	63	53

Paris FCvRennesSun 18 Oct, 17:15 CESTSun 17:15

PFC 39%X 28%REN 33%

Vesta 39 · 28 · 33

Side and race	PFC win	Draw	REN win	Now
Rennestop four	36	44	54	44
Paris FCtop four	28	22	16	22
Rennestitle	3	4	7	5
Paris FCbottom three	<1	1	1	1

MonacovLilleSun 25 Oct, 15:00 CETSun 15:00

ASM 42%X 30%LIL 28%

Vesta 42 · 29 · 28

Side and race	ASM win	Draw	LIL win	Now
Lilletop four	32	38	51	39
Monacotop four	68	58	52	60
Monacotitle	13	9	7	10
Lilletitle	3	3	6	4

ToulousevTroyesSat 24 Oct, 17:15 CESTSat 17:15

TFC 61%X 23%TRO 16%

Vesta 61 · 23 · 17

Side and race	TFC win	Draw	TRO win	Now
Troyesbottom three	62	55	44	57
Toulousetop four	20	14	11	17
Toulousebottom three	1	2	2	1

MarseillevLe HavreSun 25 Oct, 17:15 CETSun 17:15

MAR 52%X 26%HAC 22%

Vesta 52 · 26 · 22

Side and race	MAR win	Draw	HAC win	Now
Le Havrebottom three	47	42	29	42
Marseilletop four	16	11	8	13
Marseillebottom three	1	3	4	2

LillevLensFri 30 Oct, 21:05 CETFri 21:05

LIL 36%X 29%RCL 35%

Vesta 36 · 29 · 36

Side and race	LIL win	Draw	RCL win	Now
Lenstop four	27	35	44	35
Lilletop four	49	37	32	39
Lilletitle	6	3	2	4
Lenstitle	2	3	5	3

LyonvNiceSun 18 Oct, 20:45 CESTSun 20:45

LYO 61%X 24%NCE 15%

Vesta 61 · 24 · 15

Side and race	LYO win	Draw	NCE win	Now
Lyontop four	62	51	44	57
Nicebottom three	29	26	17	26
Lyontitle	10	6	4	8

AngersvMarseilleSun 18 Oct, 15:00 CESTSun 15:00

ANG 24%X 27%MAR 49%

Vesta 24 · 27 · 49

Side and race	ANG win	Draw	MAR win	Now
Angersbottom three	42	53	59	53
Marseilletop four	9	10	17	13
Marseillebottom three	4	3	1	2

AngersvLorientSun 25 Oct, 17:15 CETSun 17:15

ANG 29%X 30%LOR 41%

Vesta 28 · 30 · 41

Side and race	ANG win	Draw	LOR win	Now
Angersbottom three	43	53	60	53
Lorientbottom three	10	7	4	7
Lorienttop four	3	4	7	5

Paris Saint GermainvLyonSun 25 Oct, 20:45 CETSun 20:45

PSG 55%X 25%LYO 20%

Vesta 55 · 25 · 20

Side and race	PSG win	Draw	LYO win	Now
Paris Saint Germaintitle	73	63	56	67
Lyontop four	52	58	68	57
Lyontitle	5	9	14	8
Paris Saint Germaintop four	97	95	93	96

LillevBrestSat 17 Oct, 20:45 CESTSat 20:45

LIL 46%X 28%BRS 26%

Vesta 46 · 28 · 26

Side and race	LIL win	Draw	BRS win	Now
Lilletop four	46	36	31	39
Bresttop four	5	6	10	6
Brestbottom three	7	5	3	5
Lilletitle	5	3	2	4

Le HavrevParis Saint GermainFri 30 Oct, 19:00 CETFri 19:00

HAC 17%X 23%PSG 60%

Vesta 17 · 23 · 60

Side and race	HAC win	Draw	PSG win	Now
Le Havrebottom three	30	41	45	42
Paris Saint Germaintitle	58	62	71	67
Paris Saint Germaintop four	95	95	97	96

RennesvStrasbourgSun 25 Oct, 17:15 CETSun 17:15

REN 51%X 25%RCS 24%

Vesta 51 · 26 · 24

Side and race	REN win	Draw	RCS win	Now
Rennestop four	50	41	35	44
Strasbourgbottom three	12	9	5	10
Rennestitle	7	4	3	5
Strasbourgtop four	2	3	6	3

LorientvMonacoSun 18 Oct, 17:15 CESTSun 17:15

LOR 33%X 30%ASM 37%

Vesta 33 · 30 · 37

Side and race	LOR win	Draw	ASM win	Now
Monacotop four	54	58	68	60
Lorientbottom three	3	7	9	7
Monacotitle	8	8	13	10
Lorienttop four	7	4	4	5

StrasbourgvParis Saint GermainSat 17 Oct, 17:15 CESTSat 17:15

RCS 18%X 24%PSG 58%

Vesta 18 · 24 · 58

Side and race	RCS win	Draw	PSG win	Now
Paris Saint Germaintitle	57	63	72	67
Strasbourgbottom three	5	9	11	10
Strasbourgtop four	6	3	3	3
Paris Saint Germaintop four	94	95	97	96

TroyesvLensSat 17 Oct, 20:45 CESTSat 20:45

TRO 21%X 25%RCL 54%

Vesta 21 · 24 · 54

Side and race	TRO win	Draw	RCL win	Now
Troyesbottom three	47	56	61	57
Lenstop four	27	31	40	35
Lenstitle	2	2	4	3

LensvParis FCSat 24 Oct, 20:45 CESTSat 20:45

RCL 50%X 26%PFC 24%

Vesta 50 · 26 · 24

Side and race	RCL win	Draw	PFC win	Now
Paris FCtop four	17	23	31	22
Lenstop four	41	32	27	35
Lenstitle	4	2	2	3
Paris FCtitle	1	1	2	1

BrestvNiceFri 23 Oct, 20:45 CESTFri 20:45

BRS 50%X 27%NCE 23%

Vesta 50 · 28 · 23

Side and race	BRS win	Draw	NCE win	Now
Nicebottom three	30	26	18	26
Bresttop four	9	5	3	6
Brestbottom three	4	7	8	5

For each coming league match Vesta's 10,000 runs of the season are split by the result of that match: the share of runs where a side finishes first, in the top four or in the bottom three, among the runs with a home win, a draw or an away win. "Now" weighs the three by how often each result comes up. Green = the side's best result, red = its worst. Chances in 100.