Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Borussia Dortmund

• Serhou GuirassyForward, started 5 of the last 553%to score
• Maximilian BeierAttacking midfielder, started 4 of the last 528%to score
• Konstantinos KaretsasForward, started 2 of the last 515%to score
• Felix NmechaMidfielder, started 4 of the last 513%to score

Most likely to assist: Julian Ryerson 35%, Maximilian Beier 17%

Werder Bremen

• Niclas FüllkrugForward, started 4 of the last 514%to score
• Marco GrüllForward, started 4 of the last 511%to score
• Eren Sami DinkciRight winger, started 3 of the last 57%to score
• ChukiMidfielder, started 4 of the last 56%to score

Most likely to assist: Chuki 10%, Marco Grüll 6%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Serhou Guirassy	86	53%	17%	12%	58%	3.6
Maximilian Beier	68	28%	4%	17%	40%	2.0
Konstantinos Karetsas bench	34	15%	1%	7%	21%	1.3
Felix Nmecha	65	13%	<1%	8%	20%	1.3
Ethan Nwaneri	38	10%	<1%	9%	18%	1.0
Daniel Svensson	90	9%	<1%	12%	20%	0.5
Nico Schlotterbeck	52	9%	<1%	3%	12%	0.7
Fabio Silva bench	23	8%	<1%	8%	15%	0.7
Joey Veerman bench	37	7%	<1%	6%	12%	0.8
Jobe Bellingham	76	6%	<1%	8%	14%	1.1
Waldemar Anton	90	6%	<1%	3%	10%	0.6
Giannis Konstantelias bench	11	6%	<1%	2%	8%	0.4
Samuele Inácio bench	14	5%	<1%	3%	7%	0.3
Julian Ryerson	83	3%	<1%	35%	37%	0.5
Kouakou Gadou	67	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.3
Luca Reggiani bench	23	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Carney Chukwuemeka bench	9	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.2
Marcel Sabitzer bench	13	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Filippo Mané bench	9	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Gregor Kobel	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Niclas Füllkrug	62	14%	1%	6%	19%	1.0
Marco Grüll	79	11%	<1%	6%	17%	1.1
Eren Sami Dinkci	46	7%	<1%	2%	9%	0.5
Chuki	71	6%	<1%	10%	16%	0.7
Salim Musah bench	22	5%	<1%	2%	7%	0.4
Ludovit Reis	66	5%	<1%	4%	8%	0.6
Justin Njinmah bench	30	5%	<1%	1%	6%	0.5
Youri Regeer	52	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.4
Jens Stage bench	18	3%	<1%	1%	4%	0.2
Olivier Deman	90	2%	<1%	5%	8%	0.4
Cedric Itten bench	10	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.2
Arthur	49	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Romano Schmid bench	18	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Dariusz Stalmach bench	13	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Marco Friedl	81	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.2
Amos Pieper	79	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.3
Cameron Puertas bench	14	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.2
Senne Lynen bench	27	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.2
Mick Schmetgens bench	24	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Karim Coulibaly bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Isaac Schmidt bench	11	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Paul Erevbenagie bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1
Mitchell Weiser bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Karl Hein	72	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Mio Backhaus bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0