Lens v Lyon

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Lens

• Florian ThauvinAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 533%to score
• Abdallah SimaForward, started 5 of the last 526%to score
• Odsonne EdouardForward, started 1 of the last 512%to score
• Michaël CuisanceMidfielder, started 4 of the last 511%to score

Most likely to assist: Florian Thauvin 21%, Matthieu Udol 16%

Lyon

• Loïs OpendaForward, started 4 of the last 520%to score
• Corentin TolissoAttacking midfielder, started 4 of the last 518%to score
• Ernest NuamahRight winger, started 4 of the last 516%to score
• Pavel SulcAttacking midfielder, started 3 of the last 514%to score

Most likely to assist: Zachary Athekame 13%, Corentin Tolisso 12%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Lens

Lens: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Florian Thauvin	90	33%	6%	21%	47%	2.4
Abdallah Sima	78	26%	4%	11%	34%	2.5
Odsonne Edouard bench	23	12%	<1%	2%	15%	0.7
Michaël Cuisance	63	11%	<1%	5%	16%	1.0
Franjo Ivanovic bench	37	10%	<1%	4%	14%	0.7
Matthieu Udol	77	9%	<1%	16%	24%	1.1
Thorgan Hazard bench	30	7%	<1%	3%	10%	0.6
Pierre Ganiou	52	6%	<1%	2%	8%	0.5
Amadou Haidara bench	39	6%	<1%	4%	10%	0.5
Yacine Titraoui	48	5%	<1%	4%	9%	0.6
Mezian Soares bench	21	4%	<1%	2%	6%	0.4
Ruben Aguilar	55	3%	<1%	7%	10%	0.4
Andrija Bulatovic bench	31	3%	<1%	7%	11%	0.5
Michal Skóras	54	2%	<1%	9%	11%	0.3
Souleymane Sagnan	49	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.3
Kyllian Antonio	54	2%	<1%	4%	6%	0.3
Maik Nawrocki bench	31	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Saud Abdulhamid bench	13	2%	<1%	2%	3%	0.1
Junior Kadile bench	14	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Jonathan Gradit bench	20	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Jean-Clair Todibo bench	16	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.0
Robin Risser	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Lyon

Lyon: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Loïs Openda	67	20%	2%	7%	25%	1.7
Corentin Tolisso	76	18%	2%	12%	28%	1.1
Ernest Nuamah	63	16%	1%	10%	24%	1.2
Pavel Sulc	53	14%	<1%	10%	22%	0.8
Kail Boudache bench	37	11%	<1%	2%	13%	0.7
Zachary Athekame	90	8%	<1%	13%	20%	0.7
Mads Bidstrup	79	6%	<1%	6%	11%	0.7
Felix Bacher	90	5%	<1%	3%	8%	0.5
Tyler Morton	74	4%	<1%	5%	9%	0.5
Rémi Himbert bench	13	4%	<1%	1%	5%	0.3
Abner	56	3%	<1%	5%	8%	0.3
Julien Duranville bench	13	3%	<1%	1%	5%	0.2
Noah Nartey bench	21	3%	<1%	1%	4%	0.2
Malick Fofana bench	11	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Mathys de Carvalho bench	14	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.2
Nicolás Tagliafico bench	16	<1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.1
Mohamed Ouédraogo bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Moussa Niakhate	72	<1%	<1%	3%	3%	0.1
Khalis Merah bench	8	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.0
Tanner Tessmann bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1
Clinton Mata bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Dominik Greif	72	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Remy Descamps bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0