Lorient v Paris FC

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Lorient

• Mamadou KonéForward, started 3 of the last 521%to score
• Jean-Victor MakengoAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 516%to score
• Ibrahima BaldéForward, started 2 of the last 514%to score
• Noah CadiouMidfielder, started 5 of the last 512%to score

Most likely to assist: Arsène Kouassi 14%, Panos Katseris 10%

Paris FC

• Lassine SinayokoForward, started 5 of the last 529%to score
• Pablo PagisAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 519%to score
• Ilan KebbalRight winger, started 5 of the last 516%to score
• Luca KoleoshoLeft winger, started 4 of the last 513%to score

Most likely to assist: Pablo Pagis 13%, Ilan Kebbal 12%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Lorient

Lorient: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Mamadou Koné	50	21%	2%	5%	26%	1.5
Jean-Victor Makengo	84	16%	1%	8%	23%	1.7
Ibrahima Baldé bench	32	14%	1%	3%	17%	0.9
Noah Cadiou	89	12%	<1%	6%	17%	1.2
Gabin Bernardeau	68	9%	<1%	10%	18%	1.2
Noah Mbamba-Muanda bench	29	6%	<1%	3%	8%	0.4
Arthur Avom	62	5%	<1%	7%	12%	0.7
Théo Le Bris	55	5%	<1%	4%	9%	0.5
Aiyegun Tosin bench	8	4%	<1%	<1%	4%	0.2
Nathaniel Adjei	87	4%	<1%	2%	6%	0.4
Arsène Kouassi	90	4%	<1%	14%	17%	0.4
Isak Jensen bench	16	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Panos Katseris bench	35	3%	<1%	10%	13%	0.3
Dembo Sylla	87	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Montassar Talbi	90	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.5
Souleymane Faye bench	12	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Yvon Mvogo	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Paris FC

Paris FC: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Lassine Sinayoko	88	29%	5%	10%	36%	2.2
Pablo Pagis	74	19%	2%	13%	30%	1.6
Ilan Kebbal	83	16%	1%	12%	26%	1.4
Luca Koleosho	59	13%	<1%	9%	21%	1.2
Pierre Lees-Melou	90	5%	<1%	8%	13%	1.0
Samir Chergui	54	5%	<1%	1%	6%	0.4
Adama Camara	90	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.5
Maxime Lopez	77	4%	<1%	11%	14%	0.5
Rudy Matondo bench	28	3%	<1%	1%	4%	0.3
Moses Simon bench	26	3%	<1%	4%	6%	0.3
Diego Coppola	90	2%	<1%	4%	6%	0.3
Zabi Gueu bench	7	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Otávio bench	35	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.2
Hamari Traore	48	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.1
Mamadou Mbow bench	36	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Thibault De Smet bench	7	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Kevin Trapp	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0