Monaco v Toulouse

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Monaco

• Paris BrunnerForward, started 5 of the last 539%to score
• Aleksandr GolovinAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 519%to score
• Stanis Idumbo MuzamboLeft winger, started 4 of the last 518%to score
• Matthis AblineForward, started 1 of the last 511%to score

Most likely to assist: Lamine Camara 18%, Aleksandr Golovin 17%

Toulouse

• Jacen Russell-RoweForward, started 4 of the last 517%to score
• Thomas JørgensenAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 515%to score
• Casper TengstedtForward, started 1 of the last 513%to score
• Christ TapéLeft-back, started 5 of the last 510%to score

Most likely to assist: Thomas Jørgensen 12%, Cristian Cásseres Jr. 12%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Monaco

Monaco: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Paris Brunner	80	39%	9%	7%	44%	2.9
Aleksandr Golovin	88	19%	2%	17%	33%	1.7
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo	68	18%	2%	12%	27%	1.8
Matthis Abline bench	34	11%	<1%	6%	16%	1.2
Denis Zakaria	88	10%	<1%	6%	16%	1.0
Lamine Camara	90	9%	<1%	18%	26%	1.2
Flávio Nazinho	89	9%	<1%	9%	17%	0.5
Eric Dier	90	9%	<1%	5%	14%	0.6
Mamadou Coulibaly	44	7%	<1%	7%	13%	0.5
Sadibou Sané	90	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.3
Anis Soubeir bench	14	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Vanderson	83	3%	<1%	12%	14%	0.5
Mika Biereth bench	7	3%	<1%	1%	4%	0.2
Edan Diop bench	13	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Mathys Detourbet bench	8	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Jordan Teze bench	7	<1%	<1%	1%	1%	0.0
Lukas Hradecky	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Toulouse

Toulouse: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Jacen Russell-Rowe	70	17%	1%	4%	20%	1.3
Thomas Jørgensen	88	15%	1%	12%	25%	1.1
Casper Tengstedt bench	27	13%	<1%	3%	16%	0.7
Christ Tapé	89	10%	<1%	5%	14%	0.5
Santiago Hidalgo	41	9%	<1%	6%	15%	0.8
Julián Vignolo bench	35	7%	<1%	3%	10%	0.6
Cristian Cásseres Jr.	90	5%	<1%	12%	16%	0.7
Yann Gboho bench	34	5%	<1%	4%	9%	0.5
Ilyas Azizi	50	5%	<1%	4%	8%	0.7
Niklas Schmidt	43	4%	<1%	4%	7%	0.4
Niko Sigur bench	26	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Seny Koumbassa bench	38	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.1
Alexis Vossah bench	32	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Rasmus Nicolaisen	54	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.2
Sion Oppong bench	13	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Rafik Messali	49	1%	<1%	3%	4%	0.1
Ismaïl Diallo bench	29	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Mark McKenzie	90	<1%	<1%	6%	6%	0.2
Mathys Niflore bench	21	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Guillaume Restes	69	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0