Brest v Angers

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Brest

• Kamory DoumbiaAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 531%to score
• Ludovic AjorqueForward, started 5 of the last 530%to score
• Pathé MboupLeft winger, started 5 of the last 522%to score
• Romain Del CastilloRight winger, started 2 of the last 510%to score

Most likely to assist: Kamory Doumbia 18%, Ludovic Ajorque 17%

Angers

• Amine El OuazzaniForward, started 5 of the last 519%to score
• Amine SbaïLeft winger, started 5 of the last 513%to score
• Jim AllevinahRight winger, started 5 of the last 511%to score
• Prosper PeterForward, started 1 of the last 510%to score

Most likely to assist: Amine El Ouazzani 11%, Amine Sbaï 10%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Brest

Brest: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Kamory Doumbia	84	31%	5%	18%	43%	2.4
Ludovic Ajorque	89	30%	5%	17%	42%	2.4
Pathé Mboup	81	22%	3%	11%	31%	2.4
Romain Del Castillo bench	29	10%	<1%	6%	15%	0.4
Raphaël Le Guen	90	9%	<1%	4%	12%	1.3
Mama Baldé bench	25	8%	<1%	5%	13%	1.0
Joris Chotard	88	7%	<1%	8%	14%	1.2
Giovani Versini	30	5%	<1%	4%	9%	0.5
Mamady Diambou bench	21	4%	<1%	5%	9%	0.6
Lucas Tousart bench	25	4%	<1%	2%	6%	0.3
Gautier Lloris	69	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.4
Joseph Nonge bench	23	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.4
Hugo Magnetti	54	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.6
Bradley Locko	90	2%	<1%	10%	11%	0.3
Kenny Lala	76	1%	<1%	9%	10%	0.3
Luc Zogbe bench	14	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Egil Selvik	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Angers

Angers: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Amine El Ouazzani	79	19%	2%	11%	28%	1.5
Amine Sbaï	87	13%	<1%	10%	21%	1.2
Jim Allevinah	75	11%	<1%	6%	17%	1.5
Prosper Peter bench	30	10%	<1%	1%	11%	0.5
Yassin Belkhdim	89	6%	<1%	5%	11%	0.9
Anthony Bermont	37	6%	<1%	3%	8%	0.6
Branco van den Boomen	90	6%	<1%	9%	14%	0.7
Djibirin Harouna bench	16	4%	<1%	2%	6%	0.3
Bané Diatta bench	23	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Mamadou Simbakoli bench	11	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.2
Joseph Kalulu	72	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.3
Ousmane Camara	90	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.3
Carlens Arcus	67	2%	<1%	4%	6%	0.3
Jordan Lefort	90	1%	<1%	3%	4%	0.2
Lilian Raolisoa bench	23	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.1
Jacques Ekomie bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Anthony Lopes	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1