Nice v Strasbourg

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Nice

• Sepe Elye WahiForward, started 3 of the last 522%to score
• Gauthier HeinAttacking midfielder, started 4 of the last 519%to score
• Mohammed AmouraAttacking midfielder, started 2 of the last 515%to score
• Sofiane DiopAttacking midfielder, started 3 of the last 515%to score

Most likely to assist: Jonathan Clauss 18%, Gauthier Hein 15%

Strasbourg

• Sebastian NanasiAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 523%to score
• Jacobo OrtegaForward, started 4 of the last 521%to score
• Diogo SousaDefensive midfielder, started 5 of the last 517%to score
• Gessime YassineLeft winger, started 5 of the last 514%to score

Most likely to assist: Gessime Yassine 18%, Sebastian Nanasi 14%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Nice

Nice: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Sepe Elye Wahi	56	22%	3%	6%	27%	1.5
Gauthier Hein	77	19%	2%	15%	31%	1.4
Mohammed Amoura bench	39	15%	1%	7%	21%	1.1
Sofiane Diop	50	15%	1%	7%	21%	1.1
Nathan N&#039;Goumou Minpol bench	30	11%	<1%	3%	14%	0.8
Djibril Coulibaly	87	9%	<1%	7%	16%	1.3
Axel Witsel	66	7%	<1%	5%	12%	0.7
Jonathan Clauss	87	5%	<1%	18%	23%	1.0
Zoumana Diallo bench	12	5%	<1%	2%	7%	0.3
Mohamed Abdelmonem	69	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.5
Xavier Mandza	90	4%	<1%	4%	7%	0.7
Youssouf Ndayishimiye	84	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.4
Everton Pereira bench	21	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Niels Nkounkou	46	2%	<1%	5%	8%	0.4
Antoine Mendy bench	24	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.2
Mohamed Ali-Cho bench	6	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.1
Melvin Bard bench	35	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Ali Abdi bench	8	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Alidu Seidu bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Yehvann Diouf	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Strasbourg

Strasbourg: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Sebastian Nanasi	79	23%	3%	14%	33%	1.3
Jacobo Ortega	64	21%	2%	8%	27%	1.5
Diogo Sousa	78	17%	2%	10%	25%	1.1
Gessime Yassine	89	14%	1%	18%	29%	1.5
Giovanni Reyna	65	10%	<1%	9%	18%	1.0
Pape Diop	62	7%	<1%	6%	13%	1.2
Oso	54	6%	<1%	6%	12%	0.6
Conrad Harder bench	12	5%	<1%	2%	8%	0.5
Jeyland Mitchell	72	5%	<1%	3%	7%	0.4
Samuel Amo-Ameyaw bench	25	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.5
Sékou Mara bench	14	4%	<1%	1%	5%	0.4
Dário Essugo bench	16	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Genesis Antwi	88	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.4
Andrew Omobamidele bench	36	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.1
Guela Doué bench	18	1%	<1%	2%	4%	0.1
Samir El Mourabet bench	27	1%	<1%	3%	4%	0.2
Ismaël Doukouré	51	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Lucas Høgsberg bench	37	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Filip Jorgensen	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0