Paris Saint Germain v Le Mans

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Paris Saint Germain

• Ferrán TorresForward, started 2 of the last 535%to score
• Khvicha KvaratskheliaForward, started 3 of the last 529%to score
• Ousmane DembéléForward, started 2 of the last 527%to score
• Désiré DouéForward, started 3 of the last 526%to score

Most likely to assist: Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 19%, Vitinha 19%

Le Mans

• Louis MafoutaForward, started 5 of the last 524%to score
• Dame GueyeForward, started 4 of the last 513%to score
• Adil BourabaaMidfielder, started 5 of the last 511%to score
• Lucas CalodatLeft midfielder, started 3 of the last 55%to score

Most likely to assist: Adil Bourabaa 9%, Louis Mafouta 8%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Ferrán Torres	41	35%	7%	7%	39%	1.9
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia	49	29%	5%	19%	43%	2.8
Ousmane Dembélé bench	34	27%	4%	18%	40%	2.0
Désiré Doué	43	26%	4%	15%	37%	2.3
João Neves	54	18%	2%	10%	27%	1.6
Maghnes Akliouche bench	38	15%	1%	10%	24%	1.1
Marquinhos	72	13%	<1%	2%	15%	0.6
Nuno Mendes bench	36	11%	<1%	16%	25%	1.0
Fabián	55	10%	<1%	14%	23%	1.3
Achraf Hakimi	44	9%	<1%	6%	14%	1.1
Warren Zaïre-Emery	65	8%	<1%	12%	20%	0.7
Vitinha	72	8%	<1%	19%	26%	1.9
Luciano Gondou bench	12	7%	<1%	2%	9%	0.5
Matvey Kislyak bench	18	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.5
Ivan Oblyakov bench	13	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Dimitri Barinov bench	13	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Mika Godts bench	12	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Daniil Krugovoy bench	13	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Kirill Glebov bench	12	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
William Pacho	72	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.5
Beraldo bench	14	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Matija Popovic bench	6	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Milan Gajic bench	18	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Kirill Danilov bench	18	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Tamerlan Musaev bench	6	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
João Victor bench	18	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Matheus Reis bench	18	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Dro Fernández bench	6	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Danila Kozlov bench	5	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Matheus Alves bench	5	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Matvey Safonov	72	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Vladislav Torop bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Le Mans

Le Mans: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Louis Mafouta	85	24%	3%	8%	30%	1.3
Dame Gueye	61	13%	<1%	3%	16%	0.7
Adil Bourabaa	81	11%	<1%	9%	18%	0.7
Lucas Calodat	55	5%	<1%	7%	12%	0.4
Habib Diallo bench	22	4%	<1%	<1%	4%	0.2
Alexandre Lauray	57	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.5
Jean Vercruysse	46	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.4
Lucas Bretelle	45	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.3
Antoine Rabillard bench	31	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Billal Brahimi bench	7	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Djibril Sidibe bench	26	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Rayan Bamba	72	1%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Harold Voyer	72	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Noa Boissé	64	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.1
Yasser Larouci bench	31	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.2
Samuel Yohou bench	39	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Lucas Buades bench	36	<1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.1
Théo Eyoum bench	36	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Raúl Torrente bench	15	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Nicolas Kocik	53	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Ewan Hatfout bench	37	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0