Troyes v Marseille

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Troyes

• Renaud RipartForward, started 3 of the last 520%to score
• Jeremy Le DouaronForward, started 2 of the last 516%to score
• Merwan IfnaouiForward, started 3 of the last 513%to score
• Kandet DiawaraForward, started 2 of the last 512%to score

Most likely to assist: Antoine Mille 13%, Kandet Diawara 9%

Marseille

• Amine GouiriForward, started 5 of the last 551%to score
• Angel GomesAttacking midfielder, started 4 of the last 520%to score
• Pierre-Emile HøjbjergDefensive midfielder, started 5 of the last 517%to score
• Igor PaixãoLeft winger, started 4 of the last 517%to score

Most likely to assist: Amine Gouiri 25%, Amine Harit 19%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Troyes

Troyes: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Renaud Ripart	55	20%	2%	6%	24%	1.4
Jeremy Le Douaron bench	39	16%	1%	5%	20%	1.1
Merwan Ifnaoui bench	48	13%	<1%	6%	19%	0.9
Kandet Diawara bench	43	12%	<1%	9%	20%	1.0
Antoine Mille	72	11%	<1%	13%	22%	1.2
Mouhamed Diop	83	10%	<1%	7%	16%	1.3
Hugo Picard	65	7%	<1%	7%	14%	0.8
Iron Gomis	53	6%	<1%	5%	11%	0.8
Adrien Monfray	90	6%	<1%	5%	11%	0.8
Lucas Maronnier	50	6%	<1%	4%	9%	0.4
Dermane Karim	56	5%	<1%	8%	13%	0.7
Michel Diaz	90	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.4
Anis Ouzenadji	90	3%	<1%	8%	11%	0.4
Timothee Nkada bench	19	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.4
Noah Donkor bench	29	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Yvann Titi bench	11	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Patrick Beach	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Marseille

Marseille: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Amine Gouiri	90	51%	16%	25%	63%	3.6
Angel Gomes	76	20%	2%	10%	28%	1.6
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg	90	17%	2%	16%	31%	2.2
Igor Paixão	56	17%	2%	10%	26%	2.0
Himad Abdelli	78	14%	1%	6%	19%	1.3
Amine Harit	84	12%	<1%	19%	29%	1.7
Timothy Weah	88	11%	<1%	12%	22%	1.4
Neal Maupay bench	23	10%	<1%	3%	12%	0.7
Naif Aguerd	60	7%	<1%	2%	8%	0.6
Keyliane Abdallah bench	22	7%	<1%	5%	12%	0.7
Emerson	90	3%	<1%	17%	20%	0.9
CJ Egan-Riley	87	3%	<1%	5%	8%	0.3
Geoffrey Kondogbia bench	29	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Tochukwu Nnadi bench	7	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Quinten Timber bench	10	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.2
Jeffrey de Lange	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0