Sassuolo v AC Milan

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Sassuolo

• Kieron BowieForward, started 3 of the last 516%to score
• Armand LaurienteForward, started 5 of the last 515%to score
• Vasilije AdzicMidfielder, started 3 of the last 512%to score
• Domenico BerardiRight winger, started 2 of the last 510%to score

Most likely to assist: Armand Lauriente 16%, Darryl Bakola 8%

AC Milan

• Gonçalo RamosForward, started 5 of the last 541%to score
• Adrien RabiotAttacking midfielder, started 3 of the last 512%to score
• Samuel ChukwuezeRight wing-back, started 4 of the last 512%to score
• Strahinja PavlovicCentre-back, started 5 of the last 512%to score

Most likely to assist: Samuel Chukwueze 19%, Gonçalo Ramos 12%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Sassuolo

Sassuolo: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Kieron Bowie	59	16%	1%	3%	18%	1.2
Armand Lauriente	90	15%	1%	16%	28%	1.9
Vasilije Adzic	45	12%	<1%	6%	17%	0.9
Domenico Berardi bench	43	10%	<1%	5%	15%	0.7
Cristian Volpato bench	38	7%	<1%	6%	13%	0.6
Kristian Thorstvedt	43	7%	<1%	3%	10%	0.6
Darryl Bakola	60	5%	<1%	8%	13%	0.7
Sebastiano Esposito bench	29	5%	<1%	4%	9%	0.5
Simone Cinquegrano	90	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.7
Josh Doig	83	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.4
Nemanja Matic	81	2%	<1%	4%	6%	0.4
Fedde Leysen	75	2%	<1%	4%	6%	0.3
Cas Odenthal bench	18	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.1
Luca Lipani bench	29	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.3
Benjamín Domínguez bench	16	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Tommaso Macchioni bench	15	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Duje Caleta-Car bench	20	1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Sulemana bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1
Jay Idzes	52	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Rafael Obrador bench	7	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Arijanet Muric	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

AC Milan

AC Milan: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Gonçalo Ramos	89	41%	10%	12%	47%	3.6
Adrien Rabiot	61	12%	<1%	10%	21%	1.1
Samuel Chukwueze	77	12%	<1%	19%	29%	1.4
Strahinja Pavlovic	90	12%	<1%	4%	15%	0.8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek bench	43	11%	<1%	6%	17%	1.0
Alphadjo Cissè	47	11%	<1%	6%	16%	1.0
Christian Pulisic bench	22	10%	<1%	7%	16%	0.7
Yunus Musah	65	9%	<1%	6%	15%	0.8
Koni de Winter	90	6%	<1%	4%	10%	0.5
Mario Gila	87	5%	<1%	3%	8%	0.4
Alexis Saelemaekers bench	37	5%	<1%	7%	11%	0.6
Diego Moreira bench	25	4%	<1%	7%	11%	0.4
Luka Modric	64	4%	<1%	9%	13%	0.5
Estupiñán	56	4%	<1%	6%	10%	0.6
Ardon Jashari bench	15	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Davide Bartesaghi bench	26	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Mike Maignan	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0