Lecce v Bologna

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Lecce

• Nikola StulicForward, started 3 of the last 511%to score
• Lassana CoulibalyMidfielder, started 5 of the last 59%to score
• Willem GeubbelsForward, started 2 of the last 59%to score
• Konan N’DriForward, started 2 of the last 58%to score

Most likely to assist: Ivan Ilic 7%, Santiago Pierotti 6%

Bologna

• Roberto PiccoliForward, started 5 of the last 528%to score
• Federico BernardeschiRight winger, started 4 of the last 519%to score
• Nicolò CambiaghiLeft winger, started 5 of the last 513%to score
• Jens OdgaardAttacking midfielder, started 3 of the last 512%to score

Most likely to assist: Federico Bernardeschi 17%, Nicolò Cambiaghi 13%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Lecce

Lecce: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Nikola Stulic	52	11%	<1%	4%	14%	0.8
Lassana Coulibaly	90	9%	<1%	4%	13%	0.7
Willem Geubbels bench	27	9%	<1%	1%	10%	0.5
Konan N’Dri bench	39	8%	<1%	3%	11%	0.8
Santiago Pierotti	75	8%	<1%	6%	13%	0.7
Tiago Gabriel	49	4%	<1%	<1%	5%	0.2
Joël Monteiro bench	43	4%	<1%	4%	7%	0.4
Youssef Maleh	49	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.5
Olaf Gorter bench	22	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.2
Kialonda Gaspar	68	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.3
Ivan Ilic bench	44	2%	<1%	7%	9%	0.3
Oumar Ngom	51	2%	<1%	2%	5%	0.4
Jamil Siebert	76	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Amar Ahmed Fatah bench	18	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Paco Esteban bench	12	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Antonino Gallo	64	1%	<1%	5%	6%	0.1
Danilo Veiga	90	<1%	<1%	4%	5%	0.1
Corrie Ndaba bench	26	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Wladimiro Falcone	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Bologna

Bologna: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Roberto Piccoli	73	28%	4%	7%	33%	2.4
Federico Bernardeschi	74	19%	2%	17%	33%	2.4
Nicolò Cambiaghi	74	13%	<1%	13%	25%	1.4
Jens Odgaard	52	12%	<1%	5%	16%	1.3
Artem Dovbyk bench	15	11%	<1%	4%	14%	0.6
Riccardo Orsolini bench	19	9%	<1%	2%	10%	0.7
Tommaso Pobega	52	8%	<1%	4%	12%	1.1
Lewis Ferguson	90	8%	<1%	9%	16%	1.0
Emil Holm	55	6%	<1%	10%	15%	0.7
Torbjørn Heggem	90	4%	<1%	2%	5%	0.5
Arthur Theate	54	4%	<1%	1%	5%	0.5
Mikel Amondarain bench	19	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Marco Libra bench	14	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.3
Eivind Helland bench	48	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.3
Oussama El Azzouzi bench	17	2%	<1%	1%	4%	0.2
Juan Miranda	62	2%	<1%	10%	12%	0.4
Jonathan Rowe bench	5	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.2
Nikola Moro bench	16	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Nadir Zortea bench	35	1%	<1%	4%	5%	0.3
Rahim Alhassane bench	28	<1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.1
Lorenzo De Silvestri bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Lukasz Skorupski	72	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Massimo Pessina bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0