Position16of 20
Points4in 5
Won, drawn, lost1-1-3
Goals4for, 9 against
FormLLDLW
Next matches
All 33Sat 10 Oct
Sat 17 Oct
TBC
Sat 24 Oct
TBC
Sun 1 Nov
TBC
Sat 7 Nov
TBC
Results
2026-27, 33 still to playSat 19 Sep
FT
Sat 12 Sep
FT
Sat 5 Sep
FT
Mon 31 Aug
FT
Sun 23 Aug
FT
Season projection
Model estimateMost likely finish17th10% of simulations
Final points448 in 10 between 35 and 54
Title<1%
Top 4<1%
Bottom 323%
Final record11-10-17Won, drawn, lost
Goals scored488 in 10 between 40 and 57
Goals conceded608 in 10 between 51 and 69
Goal difference-12
A week of matches ago: title –, top 4 <1%, bottom 3 35%, 42 final points.
Chance of each final position, in %
1
2
3
4
15
26
27
38
59
510
611
712
813
914
915
916
1017
918
819
620
Every remaining Premier League match simulated with Vesta’s strengths of today. The whole projected table
In numbers
- 39thof 96 teams of the five leagues by Vesta’s strength rating
- 25%of the team's league goals scored by Johan Manzambi
- 34%of matches won since 2001-02
- 6–0Biggest win since 2001-02: Derby County 0–6 Aston Villa
- 0–8Heaviest defeat: Chelsea 8–0 Aston Villa
In Europe
42 matches in the European cups since 2023-24Won, drawn, lost30-3-9
Goals86– 38
Finals1won Europa League 2025-26
Vesta and Aston Villa
271 league matches since 2019-20- 50%of Aston Villa's matches won by Vesta's favourite
- 62wins in 120 matches as Vesta's favourite
- 7%won with 7%: Arsenal 0–2 Aston Villa
- 11%won with 11%: Aston Villa 7–2 Liverpool
- 14%won with 14%: Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa
- 55%lost at 55%: Aston Villa 1–2 Manchester United
- 52%lost at 52%: Crystal Palace 3–2 Aston Villa
- 52%lost at 52%: Sheffield United 1–0 Aston Villa
Vesta's forecasts reconstructed with each season hidden (how).
By the minute
2026-27, 5 matches| Goals | 1-15 | 16-30 | 31-45+ | 46-60 | 61-75 | 76-90+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
- 0points won in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 1point thrown away in the last five minutes and stoppage time
- 0points won after going behind
- 0points dropped after going ahead
Goal minutes. Quarters of an hour by the minute of the match reports; stoppage time counts in the last quarter of each half.
League position
2026-27Strength
Rating 1,526Vesta's rating before every match since 2014-15. 1,500 is an average team of these leagues.
Squad
Players used in 2026-27| Player | Apps | Min | G | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boubacar KamaraDefensive midfielder | 5 | 450 | 0 | 1 |
| Victor LindelöfCentre-back | 5 | 450 | 0 | 0 |
| John McGinnRight winger | 5 | 447 | 0 | 2 |
| Emiliano BuendíaLeft winger | 5 | 413 | 1 | 0 |
| Zion SuzukiGoalkeeper | 4 | 360 | 0 | 0 |
| Ian MaatsenLeft-back | 4 | 343 | 0 | 0 |
| Ross BarkleyDefensive midfielder | 5 | 316 | 0 | 0 |
| Nicolas JacksonForward | 4 | 298 | 1 | 0 |
| George HemmingsLeft winger | 5 | 298 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew CashRight-back | 4 | 291 | 0 | 0 |
| Tyrone MingsCentre-back | 4 | 257 | 0 | 0 |
| Pau TorresCentre-back | 3 | 193 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Wan-BissakaRight-back | 4 | 159 | 0 | 0 |
| João GomesMidfielder | 2 | 129 | 0 | 0 |
| Matteo RuggeriLeft-back | 3 | 107 | 0 | 0 |
| Johan ManzambiDefensive midfielder | 2 | 103 | 1 | 1 |
| Marco BizotGoalkeeper | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Alysson Edward– | 4 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| Tammy AbrahamForward | 4 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| Alejandro GarnachoLeft winger | 3 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| Ibrahim MbayeForward | 2 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| Lamare BogardeDefensive midfielder | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 |

