Liverpool v Manchester City

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Liverpool

• Alexander IsakForward, started 5 of the last 530%to score
• Cody GakpoLeft winger, started 4 of the last 515%to score
• Florian WirtzAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 514%to score
• Bradley BarcolaLeft winger, started 2 of the last 512%to score

Most likely to assist: Dominik Szoboszlai 17%, Cody Gakpo 15%

Manchester City

• Erling HaalandForward, started 5 of the last 542%to score
• Antoine SemenyoLeft winger, started 5 of the last 521%to score
• Mathis CherkiAttacking midfielder, started 4 of the last 511%to score
• Enzo FernándezDefensive midfielder, started 3 of the last 510%to score

Most likely to assist: Mathis Cherki 21%, Erling Haaland 12%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Liverpool

Liverpool: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Alexander Isak	83	30%	5%	8%	35%	1.8
Cody Gakpo	75	15%	1%	15%	28%	1.6
Florian Wirtz	81	14%	1%	12%	25%	1.3
Bradley Barcola bench	34	12%	<1%	5%	17%	0.8
Dominik Szoboszlai	88	11%	<1%	17%	26%	1.5
Víctor Muñoz	52	9%	<1%	4%	13%	1.1
Virgil van Dijk	90	8%	<1%	1%	9%	0.6
Ronald Araújo	56	6%	<1%	2%	8%	0.4
Alexis Mac Allister	62	6%	<1%	6%	12%	0.9
Milos Kerkez	77	4%	<1%	4%	8%	0.3
Rio Ngumoha bench	19	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.3
Ryan Gravenberch bench	38	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.4
Jérémy Jacquet	84	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.4
Jeremie Frimpong bench	36	1%	<1%	5%	6%	0.2
Treymaurice Nyoni bench	7	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Konstantinos Tsimikas bench	13	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Alisson	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Manchester City

Manchester City: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Erling Haaland	90	42%	11%	12%	49%	2.5
Antoine Semenyo	90	21%	2%	10%	29%	1.4
Mathis Cherki	63	11%	<1%	21%	30%	1.2
Enzo Fernández	50	10%	<1%	8%	17%	0.7
Phil Foden	44	9%	<1%	9%	17%	0.7
Marc Guehi	90	8%	<1%	7%	15%	0.6
Josko Gvardiol	87	7%	<1%	7%	13%	0.6
Elliot Anderson	84	6%	<1%	8%	14%	0.8
Iliman Ndiaye bench	42	5%	<1%	5%	10%	0.5
Nico O&#039;Reilly bench	32	5%	<1%	3%	8%	0.3
Rúben Dias	90	3%	<1%	2%	4%	0.3
Abduqodir Khusanov	54	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Matheus Nunes bench	42	<1%	<1%	3%	4%	0.1
Mateo Kovacic bench	8	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Rico Lewis bench	12	<1%	<1%	2%	2%	0.1
Gianluigi Donnarumma	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0