Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Hoffenheim

• Adam HlozekForward, started 4 of the last 535%to score
• Tim LemperleForward, started 3 of the last 523%to score
• Bambasé ContéForward, started 3 of the last 521%to score
• Ozan KabakCentre-back, started 5 of the last 519%to score

Most likely to assist: Vladimir Coufal 22%, Adam Daghim 20%

Hamburger SV

• Patson DakaForward, started 2 of the last 515%to score
• Terem Igobor MoffiForward, started 2 of the last 513%to score
• Yussuf PoulsenForward, started 1 of the last 59%to score
• Fábio VieiraAttacking midfielder, started 2 of the last 59%to score

Most likely to assist: Albert Grønbæk 16%, Fábio Vieira 7%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Adam Hlozek	58	35%	7%	7%	39%	2.5
Tim Lemperle	50	23%	3%	7%	29%	1.6
Bambasé Conté	51	21%	2%	13%	31%	1.8
Ozan Kabak	88	19%	2%	4%	23%	1.7
Adam Daghim	70	16%	1%	20%	32%	1.5
Wouter Burger	88	15%	1%	19%	31%	1.5
Max Moerstedt bench	20	11%	<1%	4%	15%	0.6
Patrick Wimmer bench	41	10%	<1%	8%	17%	0.8
Andrej Kramaric bench	17	9%	<1%	4%	13%	0.5
Fisnik Asllani bench	16	6%	<1%	4%	10%	0.5
Albian Hajdari	76	5%	<1%	6%	11%	0.7
Leon Avdullahu	88	4%	<1%	6%	10%	0.7
Bazoumana Touré bench	15	4%	<1%	5%	9%	0.3
Vladimir Coufal	87	3%	<1%	22%	24%	0.8
Mats Rots	42	3%	<1%	6%	8%	0.4
Koki Machida bench	21	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Alexander Prass bench	7	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Nathan De Cat bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Robin Hranác bench	9	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Bernardo bench	26	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Oliver Baumann	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Patson Daka	42	15%	1%	4%	19%	1.2
Terem Igobor Moffi bench	35	13%	<1%	3%	16%	0.9
Yussuf Poulsen bench	21	9%	<1%	2%	11%	0.6
Fábio Vieira	45	9%	<1%	7%	16%	1.0
Albert Sambi Lokonga	70	9%	<1%	5%	13%	0.7
Nicolás Capaldo	90	9%	<1%	7%	15%	0.8
Otto Stange bench	27	8%	<1%	2%	10%	0.8
Albert Grønbæk	86	5%	<1%	16%	21%	0.8
Rayan Philippe bench	13	4%	<1%	1%	5%	0.3
Nicolai Remberg	90	4%	<1%	6%	9%	0.6
Luka Vuskovic bench	18	3%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.2
Martin Adeline bench	23	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Zakaria El Ouahdi	52	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Bakery Jatta bench	19	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.2
Jordan Torunarigha	80	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
David Møller Wolfe	51	1%	<1%	5%	6%	0.3
Sebastiaan Bornauw bench	36	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Shafiq Nandja bench	26	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Louis Lemke bench	21	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Bilal Nadir bench	11	<1%	<1%	3%	4%	0.1
Warmed Omari	37	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Miro Muheim bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Daniel Heuer Fernandes	72	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Sander Tangvik bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0