Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Mainz 05

• Phillip TietzForward, started 5 of the last 535%to score
• Nadiem AmiriMidfielder, started 5 of the last 526%to score
• Sheraldo BeckerForward, started 5 of the last 523%to score
• Kacper PotulskiCentre-back, started 4 of the last 59%to score

Most likely to assist: Sheraldo Becker 22%, Nadiem Amiri 16%

Bayer Leverkusen

• Patrik SchickForward, started 4 of the last 543%to score
• Ibrahim MazaAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 519%to score
• Christian KofaneForward, started 1 of the last 513%to score
• Afonso MoreiraLeft winger, started 4 of the last 511%to score

Most likely to assist: Ibrahim Maza 17%, Afonso Moreira 15%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Mainz 05

Mainz 05: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Phillip Tietz	89	35%	7%	9%	41%	2.2
Nadiem Amiri	86	26%	4%	16%	38%	1.6
Sheraldo Becker	75	23%	3%	22%	40%	1.9
Kacper Potulski	74	9%	<1%	3%	12%	0.7
Jae-Sung Lee	59	8%	<1%	8%	15%	0.7
Philipp Mwene	87	7%	<1%	8%	15%	0.4
Anthony Caci	62	6%	<1%	11%	16%	0.7
Ransford Königsdörffer bench	18	5%	<1%	<1%	6%	0.4
Kaishu Sano	90	4%	<1%	10%	14%	0.7
Paul Nebel bench	18	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.2
Stefan Posch	64	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.5
Danny da Costa bench	37	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.2
Fabio Gruber	72	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.4
Dominik Kohr bench	34	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Silvan Widmer bench	17	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Alexander Schwolow	36	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Robin Zentner bench	36	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Daniel Batz bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Patrik Schick	71	43%	11%	9%	48%	2.4
Ibrahim Maza	90	19%	2%	17%	33%	2.3
Christian Kofane bench	26	13%	<1%	4%	16%	0.8
Afonso Moreira	69	11%	<1%	15%	25%	1.4
Edmond Tapsoba	90	11%	<1%	6%	16%	0.8
Malik Tillman	42	10%	<1%	6%	15%	0.7
Aleix García	89	8%	<1%	15%	22%	1.0
Jarell Quansah	74	8%	<1%	4%	12%	0.5
Moussa Diaby bench	40	7%	<1%	5%	12%	0.9
Ezequiél Fernández	57	6%	<1%	5%	11%	0.7
Álex Grimaldo bench	18	4%	<1%	4%	8%	0.3
Miguel Gutiérrez	71	4%	<1%	11%	14%	0.6
Facundo Medina	56	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.2
Montrell Culbreath bench	13	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Jonas Hofmann bench	10	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Lucas Vázquez bench	14	1%	<1%	3%	5%	0.1
Exequiel Palacios bench	18	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Robert Andrich bench	19	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Loic Bade bench	15	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Ben Seghir bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Guela Doué bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.0
Arthur bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Mark Flekken	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0