Genoa v Fiorentina

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Genoa

• Milutin OsmajicForward, started 3 of the last 520%to score
• Lorenzo ColomboForward, started 4 of the last 518%to score
• Tommaso BaldanziAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 510%to score
• VitinhaAttacking midfielder, started 2 of the last 59%to score

Most likely to assist: Tommaso Baldanzi 8%, Djibril Sow 8%

Fiorentina

• Mateo PellegrinoForward, started 4 of the last 517%to score
• Franco MastantuonoAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 516%to score
• Alieu NjieForward, started 3 of the last 515%to score
• Arthur AttaAttacking midfielder, started 4 of the last 59%to score

Most likely to assist: Franco Mastantuono 11%, Nicolo Fagioli 11%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Genoa

Genoa: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Milutin Osmajic	59	20%	2%	8%	26%	1.2
Lorenzo Colombo	64	18%	2%	8%	24%	1.4
Tommaso Baldanzi	67	10%	<1%	8%	17%	1.3
Vitinha	44	9%	<1%	4%	12%	1.0
Junior Messias bench	41	8%	<1%	6%	14%	0.9
Leo Østigard	85	8%	<1%	3%	11%	0.6
Djibril Sow	65	6%	<1%	8%	14%	0.5
Mikael Ellertsson	89	4%	<1%	6%	10%	0.6
Johan Vásquez	70	3%	<1%	1%	5%	0.4
Morten Frendrup	90	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.3
Brooke Norton-Cuffy bench	36	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Kingsley Ehizibue bench	30	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Stephan El Shaarawy bench	11	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Alex Amorim bench	21	1%	<1%	3%	4%	0.2
Ethan Meichtry bench	8	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Alessandro Marcandalli	88	1%	<1%	4%	5%	0.2
David Puczka bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Stefano Sabelli bench	9	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Sebastian Otoa bench	17	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1
Justin Bijlow	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Fiorentina

Fiorentina: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Mateo Pellegrino	71	17%	2%	5%	21%	1.3
Franco Mastantuono	77	16%	1%	11%	26%	1.9
Alieu Njie	49	15%	1%	8%	22%	1.0
Arthur Atta	67	9%	<1%	7%	16%	1.2
Beto bench	19	9%	<1%	2%	10%	0.4
Cher Ndour	80	8%	<1%	4%	12%	0.9
Nicolo Fagioli	72	5%	<1%	11%	15%	0.8
Marco Brescianini bench	26	4%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Albert Gudmundsson bench	15	3%	<1%	2%	6%	0.2
Wilfried Gnonto bench	15	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Radu Dragusin	90	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.5
Alejandro Jiménez	59	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.4
Luca Ranieri	53	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Christ Inao Oulaï bench	25	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Moise Kean bench	5	2%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.2
Valde bench	46	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Viery	51	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
João Mário bench	35	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Pote bench	8	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Rolando Mandragora bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Dodô bench	18	<1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.1
Marin Pongracic bench	14	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
David de Gea	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0