Inter v Parma

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Inter

• Lautaro MartínezForward, started 4 of the last 548%to score
• Francesco Pio EspositoForward, started 4 of the last 536%to score
• Marcus ThuramForward, started 2 of the last 531%to score
• Federico DimarcoLeft wing-back, started 4 of the last 517%to score

Most likely to assist: Federico Dimarco 31%, Nicolò Barella 26%

Parma

• Simone LontaniForward, started 4 of the last 510%to score
• El Bilal TouréForward, started 5 of the last 510%to score
• David RomeroForward, started 2 of the last 57%to score
• Nesta ElphegeForward, started 1 of the last 55%to score

Most likely to assist: Emanuele Valeri 6%, El Bilal Touré 5%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Inter

Inter: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Lautaro Martínez	65	48%	14%	17%	57%	3.5
Francesco Pio Esposito	60	36%	7%	10%	42%	2.7
Marcus Thuram	45	31%	5%	12%	40%	2.2
Federico Dimarco	64	17%	2%	31%	42%	1.7
Nicolò Barella	90	16%	1%	26%	37%	1.7
Piotr Zielinski	71	14%	1%	14%	26%	1.5
Hakan Calhanoglu bench	27	11%	<1%	6%	16%	0.9
Yann Bisseck	55	10%	<1%	3%	12%	0.9
Manuel Akanji	83	9%	<1%	4%	12%	1.0
Andy Diouf	69	9%	<1%	19%	26%	1.3
Ange-Yoan Bonny bench	12	7%	<1%	3%	10%	0.4
Alessandro Bastoni	80	6%	<1%	11%	17%	0.8
Petar Sucic bench	37	6%	<1%	7%	12%	0.6
Henrikh Mkhitaryan bench	13	5%	<1%	2%	7%	0.4
Curtis Jones bench	29	4%	<1%	4%	8%	0.5
Carlos Augusto bench	29	4%	<1%	3%	6%	0.4
Luis Henrique bench	24	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.3
Benjamin Pavard bench	23	2%	<1%	3%	4%	0.2
John Stones bench	19	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Josep Martínez	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Parma

Parma: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Simone Lontani	65	10%	<1%	4%	14%	0.7
El Bilal Touré	76	10%	<1%	5%	14%	0.7
David Romero bench	33	7%	<1%	2%	9%	0.5
Nesta Elphege bench	21	5%	<1%	2%	7%	0.2
Mandela Keita	88	3%	<1%	2%	4%	0.3
Enrico Del Prato	90	3%	<1%	1%	4%	0.2
Vincent Sierro	38	2%	<1%	3%	5%	0.2
Mariano Troilo	90	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Pontus Almqvist bench	14	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.1
Adrián Bernabé bench	36	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.3
Christian Ordóñez	42	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Diego Carlos	45	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Giovanni Fabbian bench	16	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Abdou-Salam Konate bench	19	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Matija Frigan bench	15	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Sascha Britschgi	51	<1%	<1%	3%	3%	0.2
Emanuele Valeri	90	<1%	<1%	6%	7%	0.3
Dominik Drobnic bench	36	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Niakhate Ndiaye bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.1
Benjamín Cremaschi bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Lautaro Valenti bench	8	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Edoardo Corvi	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0