Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Club

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Rayo Vallecano

• Sergio CamelloForward, started 5 of the last 530%to score
• Álvaro GarcíaLeft winger, started 5 of the last 517%to score
• Jorge De FrutosRight winger, started 3 of the last 511%to score
• Pathé CissCentre-back, started 5 of the last 59%to score

Most likely to assist: Álvaro García 16%, Unai López 11%

Athletic Club

• Oihan SancetAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 519%to score
• Iñaki WilliamsRight winger, started 5 of the last 515%to score
• Nico WilliamsLeft winger, started 4 of the last 515%to score
• Roberto NavarroRight winger, started 4 of the last 515%to score

Most likely to assist: Iñaki Williams 10%, Nico Williams 10%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Sergio Camello	74	30%	5%	8%	36%	2.0
Álvaro García	87	17%	2%	16%	31%	1.5
Jorge De Frutos	41	11%	<1%	4%	14%	0.7
Pathé Ciss	90	9%	<1%	2%	11%	0.6
Adrià Pedrosa	82	6%	<1%	9%	14%	0.7
Alemão bench	16	5%	<1%	<1%	6%	0.3
Florian Lejeune	90	5%	<1%	2%	7%	1.1
Pedro Díaz	62	4%	<1%	4%	8%	1.2
Unai López	80	4%	<1%	11%	15%	0.8
Andrei Ratiu	72	4%	<1%	9%	13%	0.6
Gnangoro bench	37	4%	<1%	3%	7%	0.4
Giorgi Tsitaishvili bench	39	3%	<1%	4%	8%	0.5
Óscar Valentín	52	3%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Fran Pérez bench	12	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Mujaid Sadick bench	33	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Iván Balliu bench	21	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Jozhua Vertrouwd bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Daniel Cárdenas bench	36	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Emil Audero	54	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Athletic Club

Athletic Club: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Oihan Sancet	85	19%	2%	6%	23%	1.7
Iñaki Williams	69	15%	1%	10%	24%	1.3
Nico Williams	68	15%	1%	10%	23%	1.3
Roberto Navarro	64	15%	1%	6%	20%	0.9
Gorka Guruzeta bench	23	8%	<1%	2%	10%	0.6
Alex Berenguer bench	36	5%	<1%	6%	11%	0.5
Aymeric Laporte	90	4%	<1%	2%	7%	0.5
Beñat Gerenabarrena	57	4%	<1%	4%	8%	0.5
Aitor Paredes bench	44	4%	<1%	1%	5%	0.2
Peio Canales bench	26	3%	<1%	3%	5%	0.3
Maroan Sannadi bench	7	3%	<1%	<1%	3%	0.2
Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta	57	2%	<1%	6%	8%	0.5
Mikel Jauregizar bench	42	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.4
Yuri	71	1%	<1%	9%	10%	0.6
Yeray Álvarez	46	1%	<1%	3%	4%	0.2
Johaneko Louis Jean bench	33	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Jesús Areso	57	<1%	<1%	4%	4%	0.2
Hugo Rincón bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Unai Simón	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0