Sunderland v Brighton

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Sunderland

• Brian BrobbeyForward, started 5 of the last 528%to score
• Enzo Le FéeAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 515%to score
• Nilson AnguloLeft winger, started 5 of the last 511%to score
• Dan BallardCentre-back, started 5 of the last 59%to score

Most likely to assist: Enzo Le Fée 17%, Granit Xhaka 12%

Brighton

• Charalampos KostoulasForward, started 4 of the last 529%to score
• Diego GómezRight winger, started 5 of the last 518%to score
• Luka VuskovicCentre-back, started 5 of the last 514%to score
• Malick YalcouyéAttacking midfielder, started 3 of the last 513%to score

Most likely to assist: Maxim De Cuyper 18%, Pascal Groß 17%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Sunderland

Sunderland: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Brian Brobbey	81	28%	4%	6%	32%	1.6
Enzo Le Fée	88	15%	1%	17%	29%	1.1
Nilson Angulo	67	11%	<1%	8%	18%	1.0
Dan Ballard	90	9%	<1%	4%	13%	0.9
Wilson Isidor bench	20	9%	<1%	<1%	10%	0.7
Nordi Mukiele	72	7%	<1%	6%	12%	0.6
Thomas Meunier	83	6%	<1%	9%	14%	0.8
Noah Sadiki	85	5%	<1%	4%	9%	0.7
Granit Xhaka	90	4%	<1%	12%	15%	0.7
Trai Hume bench	39	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.4
Malick Fofana bench	9	3%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Kevin Danso	54	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.3
Chemsdine Talbi bench	6	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Dayann Methalie bench	18	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Reinildo	72	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Habib Diarra bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Luke O&#039;Nien bench	14	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Robin Roefs	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

Brighton

Brighton: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Charalampos Kostoulas	71	29%	5%	11%	37%	2.6
Diego Gómez	88	18%	2%	9%	25%	1.6
Luka Vuskovic	88	14%	<1%	2%	15%	1.0
Malick Yalcouyé	47	13%	<1%	7%	19%	0.9
Maxim De Cuyper	86	12%	<1%	18%	28%	0.9
Pascal Groß	90	11%	<1%	17%	26%	1.1
Yasin Ayari	68	9%	<1%	6%	14%	1.3
Georginio Rutter bench	21	4%	<1%	4%	8%	0.5
Chema Andres bench	22	4%	<1%	2%	6%	0.3
Jack Hinshelwood bench	14	4%	<1%	2%	5%	0.3
Lewis Dunk	72	3%	<1%	1%	4%	0.5
Ferdi Kadioglu	67	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.5
Mats Wieffer bench	33	3%	<1%	4%	6%	0.3
Olivier Boscagli	88	2%	<1%	6%	7%	0.3
Costinha bench	12	2%	<1%	1%	3%	0.2
Pascal Struijk bench	20	1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.2
Ibrahim Osman bench	6	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Bart Verbruggen	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0