Coventry v Newcastle United

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Coventry

• Taiwo AwoniyiForward, started 3 of the last 523%to score
• Jack RudoniAttacking midfielder, started 4 of the last 512%to score
• Ellis SimmsForward, started 1 of the last 58%to score
• Matt GrimesDefensive midfielder, started 5 of the last 58%to score

Most likely to assist: Frank Onyeka 8%, Jack Rudoni 7%

Newcastle United

• Yoane WissaAttacking midfielder, started 5 of the last 526%to score
• Harvey BarnesLeft winger, started 5 of the last 524%to score
• Malick ThiawCentre-back, started 5 of the last 511%to score
• Matias Fernandez-PardoAttacking midfielder, started 2 of the last 510%to score

Most likely to assist: Harvey Barnes 12%, Lewis Miley 11%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Coventry

Coventry: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Taiwo Awoniyi bench	47	23%	3%	7%	28%	1.3
Jack Rudoni	61	12%	<1%	7%	18%	1.0
Ellis Simms bench	21	8%	<1%	2%	10%	0.5
Matt Grimes	89	8%	<1%	6%	14%	1.0
Jay Dasilva	89	7%	<1%	5%	12%	0.5
Ephron Mason-Clark	48	6%	<1%	5%	11%	0.7
Frank Onyeka	64	6%	<1%	8%	13%	0.6
Brandon Thomas-Asante bench	45	6%	<1%	4%	9%	0.7
Caleb Yirenkyi	54	5%	<1%	5%	10%	0.6
Loum Tchaouna bench	43	5%	<1%	4%	8%	0.7
Bobby Thomas	88	4%	<1%	6%	10%	1.1
Aurèle Amenda	72	3%	<1%	2%	4%	0.4
Milan van Ewijk	72	2%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Ethan Pinnock	56	2%	<1%	2%	3%	0.3
Sidiki Chérif bench	6	2%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Victor Torp bench	10	1%	<1%	2%	3%	0.1
Stephen Mfuni bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Tatsuhiro Sakamoto bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Gustavo Hamer bench	5	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	0.1
Carl Rushworth	90	<1%	<1%	4%	4%	0.0

Newcastle United

Newcastle United: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Yoane Wissa	89	26%	4%	10%	33%	1.7
Harvey Barnes	90	24%	3%	12%	33%	2.1
Malick Thiaw	90	11%	<1%	2%	13%	0.7
Matias Fernandez-Pardo bench	32	10%	<1%	6%	15%	0.8
Joe Willock	58	9%	<1%	9%	17%	1.1
Lewis Miley	81	7%	<1%	11%	17%	0.7
William Osula bench	11	6%	<1%	1%	7%	0.3
Anthony Elanga	48	6%	<1%	6%	12%	0.6
Jacob Murphy bench	36	5%	<1%	7%	12%	0.7
Lewis Hall	90	5%	<1%	9%	14%	0.9
Sven Botman	90	5%	<1%	4%	9%	0.6
Sean Steur	46	5%	<1%	5%	10%	0.5
Amar Dedic	66	3%	<1%	6%	9%	0.5
Nico González bench	34	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.3
Bazoumana Touré bench	9	2%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Jacob Ramsey bench	13	2%	<1%	2%	3%	0.2
Valentino Livramento bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Lukás Hornícek	90	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0