Paderborn v VfB Stuttgart

Each player's chance to score and to assist, from Vesta's expected goals for his team, his expected goals and goals per 90 minutes, and the minutes he is likely to play (the likely line-ups above).

Paderborn

• Marvin PieringerForward, started 4 of the last 516%to score
• Stefano MarinoForward, started 3 of the last 516%to score
• Gabriel VidovicForward, started 4 of the last 515%to score
• Steffen TiggesForward, started 0 of the last 511%to score

Most likely to assist: Laurin Curda 10%, Laurin Ulrich 8%

VfB Stuttgart

• Deniz UndavForward, started 4 of the last 529%to score
• Ermedin DemirovicForward, started 3 of the last 523%to score
• Dzenan PejcinovicAttacking midfielder, started 3 of the last 517%to score
• Grischa PrömelMidfielder, started 4 of the last 514%to score

Most likely to assist: Chris Führich 16%, Maximilian Mittelstädt 15%

What each side should make in this match, forecast by Vesta from both teams' recent numbers and the match forecast.

The chance of each team finishing first, in the top four or in the bottom three: today, and in the simulated seasons where this match ends in each result.

Everyone likely to play, by chance to score. Minutes: what we expect him to play; shots: how many he should take.

Paderborn

Paderborn: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Marvin Pieringer	62	16%	1%	7%	22%	1.1
Stefano Marino	44	16%	1%	5%	20%	1.1
Gabriel Vidovic	65	15%	1%	6%	21%	1.1
Steffen Tigges bench	26	11%	<1%	3%	14%	0.8
Santiago Castañeda	72	9%	<1%	7%	16%	1.0
Sven Michel bench	18	7%	<1%	3%	10%	0.5
Laurin Ulrich	64	7%	<1%	8%	14%	0.9
Dennis Srbeny bench	14	5%	<1%	2%	7%	0.3
Rayan Philippe bench	14	5%	<1%	2%	7%	0.4
Laurin Curda	68	4%	<1%	10%	14%	0.5
Raphael Obermair	67	3%	<1%	4%	7%	0.5
Sebastian Vasiliadis bench	18	3%	<1%	3%	5%	0.3
Christopher Antwi-Adjei bench	18	3%	<1%	3%	5%	0.3
Jano ter Horst	71	3%	<1%	4%	6%	0.4
Mohamed Dräger bench	18	3%	<1%	3%	5%	0.3
Abdelhamid Sabiri bench	18	3%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Tjark Scheller	72	3%	<1%	4%	6%	0.3
Mattes Hansen	65	2%	<1%	3%	6%	0.4
Marlon Ritter bench	16	2%	<1%	2%	5%	0.2
Jonah Sticker bench	10	1%	<1%	2%	4%	0.1
Oliver Batista Meier bench	7	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Jamilu Collins bench	18	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Laurent Jans bench	18	1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Tom Baack bench	6	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	0.1
Luca Kilian bench	16	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	0.1
Nahuel Nicolas Noll	72	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Leopold Zingerle bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart: each player's chances

Player	Min	Score	2+	Assist	Goal or assist	Shots
Deniz Undav	64	29%	5%	11%	37%	2.3
Ermedin Demirovic	59	23%	3%	7%	29%	1.3
Dzenan Pejcinovic bench	54	17%	2%	4%	20%	1.2
Grischa Prömel	71	14%	1%	7%	20%	1.2
Maximilian Mittelstädt	85	12%	<1%	15%	26%	0.8
Chris Führich	56	10%	<1%	16%	24%	0.9
Joshua Vagnoman	74	9%	<1%	8%	17%	0.6
Angelo Stiller	79	7%	<1%	11%	17%	0.4
Bilal El Khannouss bench	40	6%	<1%	9%	14%	0.7
Tiago Tomás bench	13	5%	<1%	2%	6%	0.3
Jamie Leweling bench	33	5%	<1%	7%	11%	0.5
Nikolas Nartey bench	19	4%	<1%	4%	7%	0.2
Julian Chabot	87	4%	<1%	1%	5%	0.6
Chema Andres bench	18	3%	<1%	2%	4%	0.2
Finn Jeltsch	72	2%	<1%	3%	6%	0.3
Yanik Spalt bench	11	1%	<1%	1%	3%	0.1
Ramon Hendriks	56	<1%	<1%	3%	4%	0.1
Fabian Bredlow	72	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0
Alexander Nübel bench	18	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	0.0